Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.142.81safe0.70–2.630.29–2.000.98–4.63safer0.44–2.880.06–2.220.50–5.11
Shots on target
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.144.359.49safe3.28–7.002.61–6.095.88–13.09safer2.79–7.492.14–6.564.93–14.05
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7012.0627.76safe11.77–19.628.50–15.6220.27–35.25safer10.68–20.717.54–16.5818.22–37.30
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction10.557.5218.07safe7.61–13.504.84–10.2012.45–23.70safer6.78–14.334.10–10.9410.88–25.26
Blocked shots
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.277.85safe2.69–6.461.62–4.934.31–11.38safer2.15–7.001.13–5.423.28–12.42
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction6.124.6210.74safe3.91–8.342.62–6.626.53–14.96safer3.34–8.912.09–7.155.42–16.06
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.8648.34safe45.07–58.6541.55–55.12safer43.40–60.3239.88–56.79
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction451415866safe384–518349–482733–1000safer366–537331–499697–1036
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction69.9370.60safe65.90–73.9666.28–74.93safer64.61–75.2564.97–76.24
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3911.4222.81safe8.55–14.238.48–14.3717.03–28.60safer7.80–14.987.73–15.1215.53–30.10
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.853.50safe0.49–2.810.76–2.951.25–5.76safer0.19–3.110.47–3.230.66–6.35
Yellow cards
33%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.843.42safe0.52–2.620.72–2.971.24–5.60safer0.26–2.890.42–3.270.68–6.15
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.196.11safe1.49–4.361.63–4.753.12–9.10safer1.10–4.751.21–5.172.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.70–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.14 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.22 | 2.81 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.14 3.28–7.00 2.79–7.49 | 4.35 2.61–6.09 2.14–6.56 | 9.49 5.88–13.09 4.93–14.05 | 54% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.70 11.77–19.62 10.68–20.71 | 12.06 8.50–15.62 7.54–16.58 | 27.76 20.27–35.25 18.22–37.30 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 10.55 7.61–13.50 6.78–14.33 | 7.52 4.84–10.20 4.10–10.94 | 18.07 12.45–23.70 10.88–25.26 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.69–6.46 2.15–7.00 | 3.27 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 7.85 4.31–11.38 3.28–12.42 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Corners | 6.12 3.91–8.34 3.34–8.91 | 4.62 2.62–6.62 2.09–7.15 | 10.74 6.53–14.96 5.42–16.06 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 51.86 45.07–58.65 43.40–60.32 | 48.34 41.55–55.12 39.88–56.79 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 451 384–518 366–537 | 415 349–482 331–499 | 866 733–1000 697–1036 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.93 65.90–73.96 64.61–75.25 | 70.60 66.28–74.93 64.97–76.24 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 11.39 8.55–14.23 7.80–14.98 | 11.42 8.48–14.37 7.73–15.12 | 22.81 17.03–28.60 15.53–30.10 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.85 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.23 | 3.50 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.84 0.72–2.97 0.42–3.27 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.68–6.15 | 33% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.19 1.63–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.31–9.92 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+