Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.213.22safe1.04–2.980.36–2.061.40–5.04safer0.79–3.230.13–2.290.92–5.52
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.174.0710.24safe4.31–8.032.33–5.826.64–13.85safer3.82–8.521.87–6.285.68–14.80
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1010.3527.45safe13.18–21.036.79–13.9219.97–34.94safer12.09–22.125.83–14.8717.92–36.99
Shots in box
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.757.4819.23safe8.81–14.694.80–10.1613.61–24.85safer7.98–15.524.06–10.9012.04–26.42
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.962.517.47safe3.08–6.840.86–4.173.94–11.01safer2.53–7.390.37–4.662.90–12.04
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.424.1910.61safe4.21–8.632.19–6.196.40–14.83safer3.63–9.211.66–6.735.29–15.93
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction56.6242.63safe49.83–63.4135.85–49.42safer48.16–65.0834.18–51.09
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction541431973safe474–609365–498839–1106safer456–627347–515803–1142
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction78.9972.02safe74.96–83.0267.70–76.35safer73.67–84.3166.39–77.66
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction10.539.7120.24safe7.69–13.376.77–12.6614.46–26.03safer6.94–14.136.02–13.4112.96–27.53
Offsides
53%
20%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.593.85safe1.10–3.420.50–2.681.60–6.10safer0.80–3.720.21–2.971.01–6.69
Yellow cards
30%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.923.42safe0.46–2.550.79–3.051.24–5.60safer0.19–2.820.50–3.340.68–6.16
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.956.51safe1.12–4.002.39–5.503.52–9.50safer0.74–4.381.97–5.932.70–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.04–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 1.21 0.36–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 3.22 1.40–5.04 0.92–5.52 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Shots on target | 6.17 4.31–8.03 3.82–8.52 | 4.07 2.33–5.82 1.87–6.28 | 10.24 6.64–13.85 5.68–14.80 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.10 13.18–21.03 12.09–22.12 | 10.35 6.79–13.92 5.83–14.87 | 27.45 19.97–34.94 17.92–36.99 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.75 8.81–14.69 7.98–15.52 | 7.48 4.80–10.16 4.06–10.90 | 19.23 13.61–24.85 12.04–26.42 | 81% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.96 3.08–6.84 2.53–7.39 | 2.51 0.86–4.17 0.37–4.66 | 7.47 3.94–11.01 2.90–12.04 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.21–8.63 3.63–9.21 | 4.19 2.19–6.19 1.66–6.73 | 10.61 6.40–14.83 5.29–15.93 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 56.62 49.83–63.41 48.16–65.08 | 42.63 35.85–49.42 34.18–51.09 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 541 474–609 456–627 | 431 365–498 347–515 | 973 839–1106 803–1142 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.99 74.96–83.02 73.67–84.31 | 72.02 67.70–76.35 66.39–77.66 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 10.53 7.69–13.37 6.94–14.13 | 9.71 6.77–12.66 6.02–13.41 | 20.24 14.46–26.03 12.96–27.53 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.26 1.10–3.42 0.80–3.72 | 1.59 0.50–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.85 1.60–6.10 1.01–6.69 | 53% 20% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.46–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.68–6.16 | 30% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–4.00 0.74–4.38 | 3.95 2.39–5.50 1.97–5.93 | 6.51 3.52–9.50 2.70–10.31 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+