Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.720.992.70safe0.75–2.680.13–1.840.88–4.52safer0.50–2.940.00–2.070.40–5.00
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.153.558.70safe3.28–7.011.81–5.295.09–12.30safer2.79–7.501.34–5.764.14–13.26
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7410.8625.60safe10.81–18.667.30–14.4218.11–33.08safer9.72–19.756.34–15.3816.06–35.13
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.437.6418.07safe7.49–13.374.96–10.3212.45–23.69safer6.66–14.204.22–11.0610.88–25.26
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.713.087.80safe2.83–6.601.43–4.744.26–11.33safer2.29–7.140.94–5.233.23–12.37
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction6.084.5510.63safe3.87–8.292.55–6.556.42–14.85safer3.29–8.872.02–7.095.31–15.95
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction56.8842.77safe50.09–63.6735.99–49.56safer48.42–65.3434.32–51.23
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction523379902safe455–590313–446768–1036safer437–608295–463733–1071
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction72.9969.87safe68.97–77.0265.55–74.19safer67.67–78.3264.24–75.50
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0211.8921.90safe7.18–12.868.94–14.8316.12–27.69safer6.42–13.618.19–15.5814.62–29.19
Offsides
54%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.563.83safe1.11–3.430.47–2.651.57–6.08safer0.81–3.730.18–2.940.99–6.67
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.113.72safe0.57–2.660.98–3.241.55–5.90safer0.30–2.930.69–3.530.99–6.46
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.553.365.90safe1.11–3.981.80–4.912.91–8.90safer0.72–4.371.37–5.342.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.75–2.68 0.50–2.94 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.70 0.88–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.28–7.01 2.79–7.50 | 3.55 1.81–5.29 1.34–5.76 | 8.70 5.09–12.30 4.14–13.26 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 14.74 10.81–18.66 9.72–19.75 | 10.86 7.30–14.42 6.34–15.38 | 25.60 18.11–33.08 16.06–35.13 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.43 7.49–13.37 6.66–14.20 | 7.64 4.96–10.32 4.22–11.06 | 18.07 12.45–23.69 10.88–25.26 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.71 2.83–6.60 2.29–7.14 | 3.08 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 7.80 4.26–11.33 3.23–12.37 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.08 3.87–8.29 3.29–8.87 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.02–7.09 | 10.63 6.42–14.85 5.31–15.95 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 56.88 50.09–63.67 48.42–65.34 | 42.77 35.99–49.56 34.32–51.23 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 523 455–590 437–608 | 379 313–446 295–463 | 902 768–1036 733–1071 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.99 68.97–77.02 67.67–78.32 | 69.87 65.55–74.19 64.24–75.50 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 10.02 7.18–12.86 6.42–13.61 | 11.89 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.58 | 21.90 16.12–27.69 14.62–29.19 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.27 1.11–3.43 0.81–3.73 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.83 1.57–6.08 0.99–6.67 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.57–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.72 1.55–5.90 0.99–6.46 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 3.36 1.80–4.91 1.37–5.34 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.