Premier League·Regular Season - 29·
Premier League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.212.92safe0.74–2.680.36–2.071.10–4.75safer0.49–2.930.13–2.290.62–5.23
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.439.77safe3.48–7.202.69–6.176.16–13.38safer2.99–7.692.22–6.645.21–14.33
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9411.8627.80safe12.02–19.878.30–15.4320.32–35.29safer10.92–20.967.34–16.3918.27–37.34
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction11.358.8120.16safe8.40–14.296.13–11.4914.53–25.78safer7.57–15.125.39–12.2312.97–27.35
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.507.83safe2.45–6.211.85–5.164.30–11.37safer1.90–6.761.36–5.653.26–12.40
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.004.4110.42safe3.79–8.212.41–6.416.20–14.63safer3.21–8.791.88–6.955.10–15.74
Possession %
41%
55%
homeawayprediction48.3451.38safe41.55–55.1344.60–58.16safer39.88–56.8042.92–59.84
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction479506985safe412–547439–572852–1119safer394–565422–590816–1155
Pass accuracy %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction70.4874.13safe66.45–74.5169.81–78.45safer65.16–75.8068.50–79.76
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9110.1620.07safe7.07–12.747.22–13.1114.29–25.85safer6.31–13.506.47–13.8512.78–27.35
Offsides
65%
18%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.521.263.78safe1.36–3.690.17–2.351.53–6.04safer1.06–3.990.00–2.640.94–6.63
Yellow cards
25%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.792.97safe0.14–2.240.66–2.910.80–5.15safer0.00–2.500.37–3.210.24–5.71
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.356.18safe1.39–4.261.80–4.913.18–9.17safer1.00–4.651.37–5.332.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.29 | 2.92 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.34 3.48–7.20 2.99–7.69 | 4.43 2.69–6.17 2.22–6.64 | 9.77 6.16–13.38 5.21–14.33 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.94 12.02–19.87 10.92–20.96 | 11.86 8.30–15.43 7.34–16.39 | 27.80 20.32–35.29 18.27–37.34 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 11.35 8.40–14.29 7.57–15.12 | 8.81 6.13–11.49 5.39–12.23 | 20.16 14.53–25.78 12.97–27.35 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.21 1.90–6.76 | 3.50 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.83 4.30–11.37 3.26–12.40 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 6.00 3.79–8.21 3.21–8.79 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.88–6.95 | 10.42 6.20–14.63 5.10–15.74 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 48.34 41.55–55.13 39.88–56.80 | 51.38 44.60–58.16 42.92–59.84 | — | 41% 55% |
| Passes | 479 412–547 394–565 | 506 439–572 422–590 | 985 852–1119 816–1155 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.48 66.45–74.51 65.16–75.80 | 74.13 69.81–78.45 68.50–79.76 | — | 30% 66% |
| Fouls | 9.91 7.07–12.74 6.31–13.50 | 10.16 7.22–13.11 6.47–13.85 | 20.07 14.29–25.85 12.78–27.35 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.52 1.36–3.69 1.06–3.99 | 1.26 0.17–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.78 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 65% 18% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.19 0.14–2.24 0.00–2.50 | 1.79 0.66–2.91 0.37–3.21 | 2.97 0.80–5.15 0.24–5.71 | 25% 23% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.35 1.80–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 6.18 3.18–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+