Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
25%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.592.79safe0.24–2.170.73–2.440.97–4.62safer0.00–2.430.50–2.670.49–5.10
Shots on target
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.904.868.76safe2.04–5.763.12–6.615.16–12.37safer1.55–6.252.66–7.074.20–13.32
Total shots
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4214.3025.72safe7.49–15.3410.74–17.8718.24–33.21safer6.40–16.449.78–18.8316.19–35.26
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.999.4517.44safe5.05–10.936.77–12.1311.82–23.06safer4.22–11.766.03–12.8710.25–24.63
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.444.197.63safe1.55–5.322.54–5.854.09–11.16safer1.01–5.862.05–6.343.06–12.20
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.815.119.92safe2.60–7.023.11–7.115.71–14.13safer2.02–7.602.58–7.644.60–15.24
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction39.8360.06safe33.04–46.6253.28–66.84safer31.37–48.2951.60–68.52
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction349517865safe281–416450–583732–999safer263–434433–601696–1035
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction64.8178.93safe60.78–68.8474.61–83.26safer59.48–70.1373.30–84.57
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7312.2122.94safe7.89–13.579.27–15.1617.16–28.72safer7.13–14.328.52–15.9015.65–30.23
Offsides
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.104.11safe0.84–3.161.01–3.201.85–6.36safer0.54–3.460.72–3.491.27–6.95
Yellow cards
28%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.143.67safe0.48–2.581.01–3.271.50–5.85safer0.22–2.850.72–3.560.94–6.41
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.625.95safe1.89–4.761.07–4.182.96–8.94safer1.50–5.150.64–4.602.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.17 0.00–2.43 | 1.59 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.67 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 29% 25% 46% |
| Shots on target | 3.90 2.04–5.76 1.55–6.25 | 4.86 3.12–6.61 2.66–7.07 | 8.76 5.16–12.37 4.20–13.32 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.42 7.49–15.34 6.40–16.44 | 14.30 10.74–17.87 9.78–18.83 | 25.72 18.24–33.21 16.19–35.26 | 25% 68% |
| Shots in box | 7.99 5.05–10.93 4.22–11.76 | 9.45 6.77–12.13 6.03–12.87 | 17.44 11.82–23.06 10.25–24.63 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.55–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 4.19 2.54–5.85 2.05–6.34 | 7.63 4.09–11.16 3.06–12.20 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.60–7.02 2.02–7.60 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.58–7.64 | 9.92 5.71–14.13 4.60–15.24 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 39.83 33.04–46.62 31.37–48.29 | 60.06 53.28–66.84 51.60–68.52 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 349 281–416 263–434 | 517 450–583 433–601 | 865 732–999 696–1035 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.81 60.78–68.84 59.48–70.13 | 78.93 74.61–83.26 73.30–84.57 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 10.73 7.89–13.57 7.13–14.32 | 12.21 9.27–15.16 8.52–15.90 | 22.94 17.16–28.72 15.65–30.23 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 2.10 1.01–3.20 0.72–3.49 | 4.11 1.85–6.36 1.27–6.95 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.67 1.50–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 28% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 2.62 1.07–4.18 0.64–4.60 | 5.95 2.96–8.94 2.15–9.76 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+