Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.940.972.91safe0.97–2.910.12–1.831.09–4.74safer0.72–3.160.00–2.050.61–5.22
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.413.6810.09safe4.55–8.281.94–5.426.49–13.70safer4.06–8.761.47–5.895.53–14.65
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.739.5628.29safe14.80–22.656.00–13.1220.80–35.77safer13.71–23.745.04–14.0818.75–37.83
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction12.126.7018.82safe9.18–15.064.02–9.3813.19–24.44safer8.35–15.893.28–10.1211.63–26.01
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.122.837.95safe3.24–7.001.18–4.484.42–11.49safer2.70–7.550.69–4.983.38–12.52
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.783.6110.40safe4.57–9.001.61–5.616.18–14.61safer3.99–9.571.08–6.155.08–15.72
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.1441.41safe51.35–64.9334.62–48.19safer49.68–66.6032.95–49.86
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction551375926safe483–618309–442792–1060safer465–636291–459757–1095
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction77.2370.79safe73.20–81.2666.47–75.12safer71.91–82.5565.16–76.43
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7810.7421.52safe7.94–13.617.80–13.6915.74–27.30safer7.18–14.377.05–14.4414.23–28.81
Offsides
30%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.153.79safe0.48–2.801.06–3.241.54–6.05safer0.18–3.110.77–3.530.95–6.64
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.883.41safe0.48–2.580.75–3.011.23–5.59safer0.21–2.840.46–3.300.68–6.15
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.464.226.68safe1.02–3.892.66–5.783.69–9.67safer0.63–4.282.24–6.202.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.97–2.91 0.72–3.16 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.05 | 2.91 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.41 4.55–8.28 4.06–8.76 | 3.68 1.94–5.42 1.47–5.89 | 10.09 6.49–13.70 5.53–14.65 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 18.73 14.80–22.65 13.71–23.74 | 9.56 6.00–13.12 5.04–14.08 | 28.29 20.80–35.77 18.75–37.83 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.12 9.18–15.06 8.35–15.89 | 6.70 4.02–9.38 3.28–10.12 | 18.82 13.19–24.44 11.63–26.01 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 5.12 3.24–7.00 2.70–7.55 | 2.83 1.18–4.48 0.69–4.98 | 7.95 4.42–11.49 3.38–12.52 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 6.78 4.57–9.00 3.99–9.57 | 3.61 1.61–5.61 1.08–6.15 | 10.40 6.18–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 80% |
| Possession % | 58.14 51.35–64.93 49.68–66.60 | 41.41 34.62–48.19 32.95–49.86 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 551 483–618 465–636 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 926 792–1060 757–1095 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.23 73.20–81.26 71.91–82.55 | 70.79 66.47–75.12 65.16–76.43 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 10.78 7.94–13.61 7.18–14.37 | 10.74 7.80–13.69 7.05–14.44 | 21.52 15.74–27.30 14.23–28.81 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 2.15 1.06–3.24 0.77–3.53 | 3.79 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.64 | 30% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 4.22 2.66–5.78 2.24–6.20 | 6.68 3.69–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 19% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.