Premier League·Regular Season - 29·
Premier League·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.820.942.76safe0.86–2.790.08–1.790.94–4.58safer0.61–3.040.00–2.020.46–5.06
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.173.519.68safe4.31–8.031.77–5.266.08–13.29safer3.82–8.521.30–5.725.12–14.24
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.769.7327.48safe13.83–21.686.17–13.2920.00–34.97safer12.74–22.775.21–14.2517.95–37.02
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.597.2018.79safe8.65–14.544.52–9.8813.17–24.42safer7.82–15.363.78–10.6211.60–25.98
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.713.288.99safe3.83–7.591.63–4.935.46–12.53safer3.29–8.141.14–5.434.42–13.56
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.764.1710.93safe4.55–8.982.17–6.176.72–15.14safer3.98–9.551.63–6.705.61–16.25
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.6638.38safe54.87–68.4531.60–45.17safer53.20–70.1229.92–46.84
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction601374975safe534–668307–440841–1108safer516–686290–458805–1144
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction78.1568.18safe74.12–82.1863.86–72.51safer72.83–83.4862.55–73.81
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2810.5020.77safe7.44–13.117.55–13.4414.99–26.56safer6.68–13.876.80–14.1913.49–28.06
Offsides
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.462.80safe0.19–2.510.36–2.550.55–5.06safer0.00–2.810.08–2.840.00–5.65
Yellow cards
24%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.933.18safe0.20–2.300.80–3.061.00–5.36safer0.00–2.560.51–3.350.44–5.92
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.454.096.54safe1.02–3.892.54–5.653.55–9.54safer0.63–4.282.11–6.072.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.86–2.79 0.61–3.04 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.17 4.31–8.03 3.82–8.52 | 3.51 1.77–5.26 1.30–5.72 | 9.68 6.08–13.29 5.12–14.24 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.76 13.83–21.68 12.74–22.77 | 9.73 6.17–13.29 5.21–14.25 | 27.48 20.00–34.97 17.95–37.02 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.59 8.65–14.54 7.82–15.36 | 7.20 4.52–9.88 3.78–10.62 | 18.79 13.17–24.42 11.60–25.98 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 5.71 3.83–7.59 3.29–8.14 | 3.28 1.63–4.93 1.14–5.43 | 8.99 5.46–12.53 4.42–13.56 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 6.76 4.55–8.98 3.98–9.55 | 4.17 2.17–6.17 1.63–6.70 | 10.93 6.72–15.14 5.61–16.25 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 61.66 54.87–68.45 53.20–70.12 | 38.38 31.60–45.17 29.92–46.84 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 601 534–668 516–686 | 374 307–440 290–458 | 975 841–1108 805–1144 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.15 74.12–82.18 72.83–83.48 | 68.18 63.86–72.51 62.55–73.81 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.44–13.11 6.68–13.87 | 10.50 7.55–13.44 6.80–14.19 | 20.77 14.99–26.56 13.49–28.06 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 2.80 0.55–5.06 0.00–5.65 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.56 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.18 1.00–5.36 0.44–5.92 | 24% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 4.09 2.54–5.65 2.11–6.07 | 6.54 3.55–9.54 2.74–10.35 | 20% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+