Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.113.21safe1.13–3.060.26–1.971.39–5.03safer0.88–3.320.03–2.200.91–5.51
Shots on target
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.744.2710.01safe3.88–7.602.53–6.026.41–13.62safer3.39–8.092.06–6.485.45–14.57
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1511.2727.42safe12.22–20.077.71–14.8319.93–34.91safer11.13–21.166.75–15.7917.88–36.96
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction11.568.2219.78safe8.62–14.505.54–10.9014.16–25.41safer7.79–15.334.80–11.6412.59–26.97
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.782.997.76safe2.90–6.661.33–4.644.23–11.30safer2.35–7.200.84–5.133.19–12.33
Corners
71%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.474.2110.68safe4.26–8.692.21–6.216.47–14.89safer3.69–9.261.67–6.745.36–16.00
Possession %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction52.7146.85safe45.92–59.5040.06–53.63safer44.25–61.1738.39–55.30
Passes
68%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction521463984safe454–588397–530851–1118safer436–606379–547815–1154
Pass accuracy %
53%
41%
homeawayprediction75.5674.38safe71.53–79.5970.05–78.70safer70.24–80.8868.75–80.01
Fouls
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0611.2921.35safe7.22–12.898.35–14.2415.57–27.13safer6.46–13.657.60–14.9914.06–28.64
Offsides
56%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.433.66safe1.08–3.400.33–2.521.41–5.92safer0.78–3.700.04–2.810.82–6.51
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.063.56safe0.45–2.550.94–3.191.38–5.74safer0.18–2.810.64–3.480.83–6.30
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
27%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.776.47safe1.27–4.142.21–5.323.48–9.46safer0.88–4.531.79–5.752.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.10 1.13–3.06 0.88–3.32 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 3.21 1.39–5.03 0.91–5.51 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.74 3.88–7.60 3.39–8.09 | 4.27 2.53–6.02 2.06–6.48 | 10.01 6.41–13.62 5.45–14.57 | 62% 27% |
| Total shots | 16.15 12.22–20.07 11.13–21.16 | 11.27 7.71–14.83 6.75–15.79 | 27.42 19.93–34.91 17.88–36.96 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 11.56 8.62–14.50 7.79–15.33 | 8.22 5.54–10.90 4.80–11.64 | 19.78 14.16–25.41 12.59–26.97 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.78 2.90–6.66 2.35–7.20 | 2.99 1.33–4.64 0.84–5.13 | 7.76 4.23–11.30 3.19–12.33 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.47 4.26–8.69 3.69–9.26 | 4.21 2.21–6.21 1.67–6.74 | 10.68 6.47–14.89 5.36–16.00 | 71% 20% |
| Possession % | 52.71 45.92–59.50 44.25–61.17 | 46.85 40.06–53.63 38.39–55.30 | — | 61% 34% |
| Passes | 521 454–588 436–606 | 463 397–530 379–547 | 984 851–1118 815–1154 | 68% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.56 71.53–79.59 70.24–80.88 | 74.38 70.05–78.70 68.75–80.01 | — | 53% 41% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.89 6.46–13.65 | 11.29 8.35–14.24 7.60–14.99 | 21.35 15.57–27.13 14.06–28.64 | 35% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.70 | 1.43 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.81 | 3.66 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.81 | 2.06 0.94–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 3.77 2.21–5.32 1.79–5.75 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.67–10.28 | 27% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.