Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
22%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction0.981.922.90safe0.01–1.951.07–2.781.08–4.73safer0.00–2.200.84–3.000.60–5.21
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.645.569.20safe1.78–5.503.82–7.315.60–12.81safer1.29–5.993.36–7.774.64–13.76
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9814.8925.87safe7.05–14.9011.33–18.4518.38–33.35safer5.96–16.0010.37–19.4116.33–35.41
Shots in box
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0110.1417.14safe4.06–9.957.46–12.8211.52–22.77safer3.23–10.786.72–13.569.95–24.33
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.424.377.79safe1.54–5.312.71–6.024.25–11.32safer1.00–5.852.22–6.513.22–12.36
Corners
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.325.8010.12safe2.11–6.543.80–7.805.91–14.34safer1.54–7.113.27–8.334.80–15.44
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction41.5159.54safe34.72–48.3052.75–66.32safer33.05–49.9751.08–68.00
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction375529904safe308–442463–596771–1038safer290–461445–613735–1074
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction66.6877.89safe62.65–70.7173.57–82.21safer61.36–72.0072.26–83.52
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7910.7523.54safe9.95–15.637.81–13.7017.76–29.33safer9.20–16.397.06–14.4516.26–30.83
Offsides
19%
18%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.563.93safe0.21–2.531.47–3.651.68–6.18safer0.00–2.831.18–3.941.09–6.77
Yellow cards
40%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.683.41safe0.68–2.780.55–2.811.24–5.59safer0.42–3.050.26–3.100.68–6.15
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.060.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
57%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.566.06safe2.06–4.931.00–4.113.06–9.05safer1.67–5.320.58–4.542.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 1.92 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.00 | 2.90 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 19% 22% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.64 1.78–5.50 1.29–5.99 | 5.56 3.82–7.31 3.36–7.77 | 9.20 5.60–12.81 4.64–13.76 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 10.98 7.05–14.90 5.96–16.00 | 14.89 11.33–18.45 10.37–19.41 | 25.87 18.38–33.35 16.33–35.41 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 7.01 4.06–9.95 3.23–10.78 | 10.14 7.46–12.82 6.72–13.56 | 17.14 11.52–22.77 9.95–24.33 | 19% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.54–5.31 1.00–5.85 | 4.37 2.71–6.02 2.22–6.51 | 7.79 4.25–11.32 3.22–12.36 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.32 2.11–6.54 1.54–7.11 | 5.80 3.80–7.80 3.27–8.33 | 10.12 5.91–14.34 4.80–15.44 | 27% 62% |
| Possession % | 41.51 34.72–48.30 33.05–49.97 | 59.54 52.75–66.32 51.08–68.00 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 375 308–442 290–461 | 529 463–596 445–613 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.68 62.65–70.71 61.36–72.00 | 77.89 73.57–82.21 72.26–83.52 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.79 9.95–15.63 9.20–16.39 | 10.75 7.81–13.70 7.06–14.45 | 23.54 17.76–29.33 16.26–30.83 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 2.56 1.47–3.65 1.18–3.94 | 3.93 1.68–6.18 1.09–6.77 | 19% 18% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.41 1.24–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 40% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 2.56 1.00–4.11 0.58–4.54 | 6.06 3.06–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 57% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.