Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.960.932.89safe0.99–2.930.08–1.791.07–4.71safer0.74–3.180.00–2.020.59–5.19
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.5310.18safe4.79–8.511.79–5.276.57–13.78safer4.30–9.001.32–5.745.62–14.74
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.769.3730.13safe16.83–24.685.81–12.9322.64–37.61safer15.74–25.774.85–13.8920.59–39.67
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.946.5919.53safe10.00–15.893.91–9.2713.91–25.15safer9.17–16.723.17–10.0012.34–26.72
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.682.758.42safe3.79–7.561.09–4.404.89–11.96safer3.25–8.100.60–4.893.85–12.99
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.993.5810.57safe4.78–9.211.58–5.586.36–14.79safer4.21–9.781.05–6.115.25–15.89
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.1742.78safe50.38–63.9635.99–49.56safer48.71–65.6334.32–51.23
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction537382919safe470–604316–449785–1053safer451–622298–466750–1088
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction77.1072.57safe73.07–81.1368.25–76.90safer71.78–82.4266.94–78.21
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction11.089.5320.61safe8.24–13.926.59–12.4814.83–26.39safer7.49–14.675.84–13.2313.32–27.90
Offsides
27%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.353.98safe0.47–2.791.25–3.441.73–6.23safer0.17–3.100.97–3.731.14–6.82
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.833.38safe0.49–2.590.71–2.961.20–5.56safer0.23–2.860.41–3.260.64–6.11
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.314.526.83safe0.87–3.742.96–6.083.84–9.82safer0.48–4.132.54–6.503.02–10.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.93 0.74–3.18 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 61% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.65 4.79–8.51 4.30–9.00 | 3.53 1.79–5.27 1.32–5.74 | 10.18 6.57–13.78 5.62–14.74 | 80% |
| Total shots | 20.76 16.83–24.68 15.74–25.77 | 9.37 5.81–12.93 4.85–13.89 | 30.13 22.64–37.61 20.59–39.67 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.94 10.00–15.89 9.17–16.72 | 6.59 3.91–9.27 3.17–10.00 | 19.53 13.91–25.15 12.34–26.72 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.68 3.79–7.56 3.25–8.10 | 2.75 1.09–4.40 0.60–4.89 | 8.42 4.89–11.96 3.85–12.99 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.99 4.78–9.21 4.21–9.78 | 3.58 1.58–5.58 1.05–6.11 | 10.57 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.89 | 82% |
| Possession % | 57.17 50.38–63.96 48.71–65.63 | 42.78 35.99–49.56 34.32–51.23 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 537 470–604 451–622 | 382 316–449 298–466 | 919 785–1053 750–1088 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.10 73.07–81.13 71.78–82.42 | 72.57 68.25–76.90 66.94–78.21 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.24–13.92 7.49–14.67 | 9.53 6.59–12.48 5.84–13.23 | 20.61 14.83–26.39 13.32–27.90 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.10 | 2.35 1.25–3.44 0.97–3.73 | 3.98 1.73–6.23 1.14–6.82 | 27% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.83 0.71–2.96 0.41–3.26 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.11 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.31 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 4.52 2.96–6.08 2.54–6.50 | 6.83 3.84–9.82 3.02–10.63 | 14% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+