Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.242.56safe0.35–2.280.39–2.090.73–4.38safer0.10–2.530.16–2.320.25–4.86
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.284.088.36safe2.42–6.142.34–5.834.76–11.97safer1.93–6.631.88–6.293.80–12.92
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7411.9725.71safe9.82–17.678.41–15.5318.23–33.20safer8.72–18.767.45–16.4916.17–35.25
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.028.1417.16safe6.08–11.965.46–10.8311.54–22.79safer5.25–12.794.73–11.569.97–24.35
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.627.88safe2.38–6.141.96–5.274.34–11.41safer1.83–6.681.47–5.763.31–12.45
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.8310.34safe3.30–7.732.83–6.836.13–14.56safer2.73–8.302.30–7.365.02–15.66
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction51.1249.80safe44.33–57.9143.02–56.59safer42.66–59.5841.34–58.26
Passes
56%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction434414848safe366–501348–481714–982safer348–519330–498679–1017
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction66.5169.99safe62.48–70.5465.66–74.31safer61.19–71.8364.35–75.62
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7410.7722.51safe8.90–14.587.83–13.7216.73–28.30safer8.15–15.347.08–14.4715.23–29.80
Offsides
36%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.124.02safe0.74–3.061.02–3.211.77–6.27safer0.44–3.360.74–3.501.18–6.86
Yellow cards
38%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.723.40safe0.63–2.720.59–2.851.22–5.57safer0.36–2.990.30–3.140.66–6.13
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.652.985.63safe1.22–4.091.42–4.532.64–8.62safer0.83–4.481.00–4.961.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.28 0.10–2.53 | 1.24 0.39–2.09 0.16–2.32 | 2.56 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.42–6.14 1.93–6.63 | 4.08 2.34–5.83 1.88–6.29 | 8.36 4.76–11.97 3.80–12.92 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.74 9.82–17.67 8.72–18.76 | 11.97 8.41–15.53 7.45–16.49 | 25.71 18.23–33.20 16.17–35.25 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 9.02 6.08–11.96 5.25–12.79 | 8.14 5.46–10.83 4.73–11.56 | 17.16 11.54–22.79 9.97–24.35 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.38–6.14 1.83–6.68 | 3.62 1.96–5.27 1.47–5.76 | 7.88 4.34–11.41 3.31–12.45 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.73 2.73–8.30 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.30–7.36 | 10.34 6.13–14.56 5.02–15.66 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 51.12 44.33–57.91 42.66–59.58 | 49.80 43.02–56.59 41.34–58.26 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 434 366–501 348–519 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 848 714–982 679–1017 | 56% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.51 62.48–70.54 61.19–71.83 | 69.99 65.66–74.31 64.35–75.62 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 11.74 8.90–14.58 8.15–15.34 | 10.77 7.83–13.72 7.08–14.47 | 22.51 16.73–28.30 15.23–29.80 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 2.12 1.02–3.21 0.74–3.50 | 4.02 1.77–6.27 1.18–6.86 | 36% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.63–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.40 1.22–5.57 0.66–6.13 | 38% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 2.98 1.42–4.53 1.00–4.96 | 5.63 2.64–8.62 1.83–9.44 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+