Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.333.18safe0.87–2.810.48–2.191.35–5.00safer0.62–3.060.25–2.420.87–5.48
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.984.2510.22safe4.11–7.842.51–5.996.62–13.83safer3.62–8.332.04–6.465.66–14.78
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5311.1328.66safe13.61–21.467.57–14.6921.17–36.15safer12.52–22.556.61–15.6519.12–38.20
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction11.098.1119.20safe8.15–14.035.43–10.7913.58–24.82safer7.32–14.864.69–11.5312.01–26.39
Blocked shots
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.753.438.18safe2.87–6.631.78–5.094.65–11.72safer2.32–7.171.29–5.583.61–12.75
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.314.5010.81safe4.10–8.532.50–6.506.60–15.03safer3.53–9.101.97–7.035.49–16.13
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.3543.58safe49.56–63.1436.80–50.37safer47.89–64.8135.12–52.04
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction523414937safe455–590348–481803–1071safer437–608330–498768–1106
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction77.0671.05safe73.03–81.0966.72–75.37safer71.74–82.3865.41–76.68
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction11.409.5320.92safe8.56–14.246.58–12.4715.14–26.70safer7.80–14.995.83–13.2213.64–28.21
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.773.36safe0.43–2.750.67–2.861.11–5.61safer0.13–3.050.39–3.150.52–6.20
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.033.93safe0.85–2.950.90–3.161.75–6.11safer0.58–3.210.61–3.451.19–6.67
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.696.38safe1.25–4.122.14–5.253.38–9.37safer0.86–4.511.71–5.672.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.87–2.81 0.62–3.06 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 3.18 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.98 4.11–7.84 3.62–8.33 | 4.25 2.51–5.99 2.04–6.46 | 10.22 6.62–13.83 5.66–14.78 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 17.53 13.61–21.46 12.52–22.55 | 11.13 7.57–14.69 6.61–15.65 | 28.66 21.17–36.15 19.12–38.20 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.09 8.15–14.03 7.32–14.86 | 8.11 5.43–10.79 4.69–11.53 | 19.20 13.58–24.82 12.01–26.39 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.75 2.87–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 3.43 1.78–5.09 1.29–5.58 | 8.18 4.65–11.72 3.61–12.75 | 61% 26% |
| Corners | 6.31 4.10–8.53 3.53–9.10 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.03 | 10.81 6.60–15.03 5.49–16.13 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 56.35 49.56–63.14 47.89–64.81 | 43.58 36.80–50.37 35.12–52.04 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 523 455–590 437–608 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 937 803–1071 768–1106 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.06 73.03–81.09 71.74–82.38 | 71.05 66.72–75.37 65.41–76.68 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.40 8.56–14.24 7.80–14.99 | 9.53 6.58–12.47 5.83–13.22 | 20.92 15.14–26.70 13.64–28.21 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.77 0.67–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.36 1.11–5.61 0.52–6.20 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.19–6.67 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 3.69 2.14–5.25 1.71–5.67 | 6.38 3.38–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.