Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.232.49safe0.30–2.230.38–2.080.67–4.32safer0.05–2.480.15–2.310.19–4.80
Shots on target
39%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.964.218.17safe2.10–5.822.47–5.954.57–11.78safer1.61–6.312.00–6.423.61–12.73
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5412.6626.20safe9.61–17.469.10–16.2218.71–33.68safer8.52–18.558.14–17.1816.66–35.73
Shots in box
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction9.108.6017.70safe6.16–12.045.92–11.2812.08–23.33safer5.33–12.875.18–12.0210.51–24.89
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.963.657.61safe2.08–5.841.99–5.304.07–11.14safer1.53–6.391.50–5.793.04–12.18
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.705.3810.07safe2.48–6.913.38–7.385.86–14.29safer1.91–7.482.84–7.914.75–15.39
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.6256.06safe37.83–51.4149.27–62.84safer36.16–53.0847.60–64.51
Passes
22%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction372465838safe305–439399–532704–971safer287–458382–549668–1007
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction64.5471.90safe60.51–68.5767.58–76.22safer59.22–69.8666.27–77.53
Fouls
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2010.2021.40safe8.37–14.047.25–13.1415.62–27.19safer7.61–14.806.51–13.8914.12–28.69
Offsides
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.044.17safe0.97–3.290.95–3.131.91–6.42safer0.67–3.590.66–3.421.32–7.01
Yellow cards
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.593.23safe0.59–2.690.46–2.721.05–5.41safer0.33–2.960.17–3.010.49–5.96
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.060.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.722.555.27safe1.29–4.160.99–4.112.28–8.26safer0.90–4.550.57–4.531.47–9.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.48 | 1.23 0.38–2.08 0.15–2.31 | 2.49 0.67–4.32 0.19–4.80 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 3.96 2.10–5.82 1.61–6.31 | 4.21 2.47–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 8.17 4.57–11.78 3.61–12.73 | 39% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.54 9.61–17.46 8.52–18.55 | 12.66 9.10–16.22 8.14–17.18 | 26.20 18.71–33.68 16.66–35.73 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 9.10 6.16–12.04 5.33–12.87 | 8.60 5.92–11.28 5.18–12.02 | 17.70 12.08–23.33 10.51–24.89 | 50% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.84 1.53–6.39 | 3.65 1.99–5.30 1.50–5.79 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 4.70 2.48–6.91 1.91–7.48 | 5.38 3.38–7.38 2.84–7.91 | 10.07 5.86–14.29 4.75–15.39 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 44.62 37.83–51.41 36.16–53.08 | 56.06 49.27–62.84 47.60–64.51 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 372 305–439 287–458 | 465 399–532 382–549 | 838 704–971 668–1007 | 22% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.54 60.51–68.57 59.22–69.86 | 71.90 67.58–76.22 66.27–77.53 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.20 8.37–14.04 7.61–14.80 | 10.20 7.25–13.14 6.51–13.89 | 21.40 15.62–27.19 14.12–28.69 | 54% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.13 0.97–3.29 0.67–3.59 | 2.04 0.95–3.13 0.66–3.42 | 4.17 1.91–6.42 1.32–7.01 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.49–5.96 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 2.55 0.99–4.11 0.57–4.53 | 5.27 2.28–8.26 1.47–9.08 | 44% 18% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.