Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.692.95safe0.29–2.220.84–2.551.13–4.77safer0.04–2.480.61–2.780.65–5.25
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.945.369.30safe2.08–5.803.62–7.105.70–12.91safer1.59–6.293.15–7.574.74–13.86
Total shots
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6814.5226.20safe7.75–15.6010.96–18.0918.71–33.69safer6.66–16.6910.00–19.0416.66–35.74
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.429.5617.98safe5.48–11.366.88–12.2412.35–23.60safer4.65–12.196.14–12.9810.79–25.17
Blocked shots
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.704.628.32safe1.82–5.582.97–6.274.78–11.86safer1.27–6.122.48–6.773.75–12.89
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.735.169.89safe2.52–6.953.16–7.165.68–14.11safer1.95–7.522.63–7.694.57–15.21
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.2261.49safe31.43–45.0154.70–68.27safer29.76–46.6853.03–69.95
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction350553903safe283–417486–619769–1036safer265–436469–637733–1072
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction62.7980.97safe58.76–66.8276.64–85.29safer57.47–68.1275.33–86.60
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0612.2622.32safe7.22–12.899.32–15.2116.54–28.10safer6.46–13.658.57–15.9515.03–29.60
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.393.27safe0.71–3.030.30–2.491.01–5.52safer0.41–3.340.01–2.770.42–6.11
Yellow cards
34%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.853.47safe0.58–2.680.72–2.981.30–5.65safer0.31–2.940.43–3.270.74–6.21
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.312.706.02safe1.88–4.751.15–4.263.02–9.01safer1.49–5.140.72–4.682.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.22 0.04–2.48 | 1.69 0.84–2.55 0.61–2.78 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.80 1.59–6.29 | 5.36 3.62–7.10 3.15–7.57 | 9.30 5.70–12.91 4.74–13.86 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 11.68 7.75–15.60 6.66–16.69 | 14.52 10.96–18.09 10.00–19.04 | 26.20 18.71–33.69 16.66–35.74 | 26% 68% |
| Shots in box | 8.42 5.48–11.36 4.65–12.19 | 9.56 6.88–12.24 6.14–12.98 | 17.98 12.35–23.60 10.79–25.17 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 4.62 2.97–6.27 2.48–6.77 | 8.32 4.78–11.86 3.75–12.89 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.52–6.95 1.95–7.52 | 5.16 3.16–7.16 2.63–7.69 | 9.89 5.68–14.11 4.57–15.21 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 38.22 31.43–45.01 29.76–46.68 | 61.49 54.70–68.27 53.03–69.95 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 350 283–417 265–436 | 553 486–619 469–637 | 903 769–1036 733–1072 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.79 58.76–66.82 57.47–68.12 | 80.97 76.64–85.29 75.33–86.60 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.89 6.46–13.65 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.95 | 22.32 16.54–28.10 15.03–29.60 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.34 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.77 | 3.27 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.31–2.94 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.47 1.30–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 34% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.31 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 2.70 1.15–4.26 0.72–4.68 | 6.02 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+