Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.032.73safe0.74–2.670.18–1.880.91–4.56safer0.48–2.920.00–2.110.43–5.04
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.883.389.25safe4.01–7.741.63–5.125.65–12.86safer3.52–8.231.17–5.584.69–13.81
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.149.8927.03safe13.21–21.066.33–13.4519.54–34.51safer12.12–22.165.37–14.4117.49–36.57
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.626.9718.59safe8.67–14.564.29–9.6612.97–24.21safer7.84–15.393.56–10.3911.40–25.78
Blocked shots
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.162.958.11safe3.28–7.041.30–4.614.58–11.65safer2.73–7.590.81–5.103.54–12.68
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.183.4310.61safe4.97–9.391.43–5.436.40–14.82safer4.39–9.970.89–5.965.29–15.93
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction68.3430.34safe61.55–75.1323.56–37.13safer59.88–76.8021.89–38.80
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction643274917safe576–710207–340783–1051safer558–728190–358748–1086
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction80.9866.43safe76.95–85.0062.11–70.76safer75.65–86.3060.80–72.07
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2811.7121.98safe7.44–13.118.76–14.6516.20–27.76safer6.68–13.878.01–15.4014.70–29.27
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.703.68safe0.82–3.140.61–2.801.43–5.94safer0.52–3.440.32–3.080.84–6.52
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.293.71safe0.37–2.471.16–3.421.53–5.89safer0.10–2.730.87–3.710.97–6.44
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.403.836.24safe0.96–3.842.28–5.393.24–9.23safer0.58–4.221.85–5.822.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.74–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.03 0.18–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.73 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.88 4.01–7.74 3.52–8.23 | 3.38 1.63–5.12 1.17–5.58 | 9.25 5.65–12.86 4.69–13.81 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.14 13.21–21.06 12.12–22.16 | 9.89 6.33–13.45 5.37–14.41 | 27.03 19.54–34.51 17.49–36.57 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.62 8.67–14.56 7.84–15.39 | 6.97 4.29–9.66 3.56–10.39 | 18.59 12.97–24.21 11.40–25.78 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 5.16 3.28–7.04 2.73–7.59 | 2.95 1.30–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 8.11 4.58–11.65 3.54–12.68 | 73% 17% |
| Corners | 7.18 4.97–9.39 4.39–9.97 | 3.43 1.43–5.43 0.89–5.96 | 10.61 6.40–14.82 5.29–15.93 | 84% |
| Possession % | 68.34 61.55–75.13 59.88–76.80 | 30.34 23.56–37.13 21.89–38.80 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 643 576–710 558–728 | 274 207–340 190–358 | 917 783–1051 748–1086 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.98 76.95–85.00 75.65–86.30 | 66.43 62.11–70.76 60.80–72.07 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.44–13.11 6.68–13.87 | 11.71 8.76–14.65 8.01–15.40 | 21.98 16.20–27.76 14.70–29.27 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.08 | 3.68 1.43–5.94 0.84–6.52 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.97–6.44 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.84 0.58–4.22 | 3.83 2.28–5.39 1.85–5.82 | 6.24 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.