Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.200.993.19safe1.23–3.170.13–1.841.37–5.01safer0.98–3.420.00–2.070.89–5.49
Shots on target
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.749.96safe4.36–8.092.00–5.486.36–13.57safer3.87–8.581.53–5.955.40–14.52
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2611.2028.47safe13.34–21.197.64–14.7620.98–35.95safer12.25–22.286.68–15.7218.93–38.00
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction12.377.2619.63safe9.42–15.314.58–9.9414.01–25.25safer8.59–16.143.84–10.6812.44–26.82
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.813.298.11safe2.93–6.691.64–4.954.57–11.64safer2.39–7.241.15–5.443.54–12.68
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.273.9210.20safe4.06–8.491.92–5.925.98–14.41safer3.49–9.061.39–6.454.87–15.52
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.9847.72safe46.19–59.7740.94–54.51safer44.52–61.4439.27–56.18
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction497435932safe430–565369–502799–1066safer412–583351–519763–1102
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction76.3377.92safe72.30–80.3673.60–82.25safer71.01–81.6572.29–83.56
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0612.8423.90safe8.22–13.909.89–15.7818.12–29.68safer7.47–14.669.14–16.5316.61–31.19
Offsides
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.293.41safe0.96–3.280.20–2.381.16–5.66safer0.66–3.580.00–2.670.57–6.25
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.283.66safe0.33–2.431.15–3.411.48–5.84safer0.06–2.690.86–3.700.92–6.40
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.636.29safe1.22–4.092.07–5.193.29–9.28safer0.83–4.481.65–5.612.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.20 1.23–3.17 0.98–3.42 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.22 4.36–8.09 3.87–8.58 | 3.74 2.00–5.48 1.53–5.95 | 9.96 6.36–13.57 5.40–14.52 | 74% 17% |
| Total shots | 17.26 13.34–21.19 12.25–22.28 | 11.20 7.64–14.76 6.68–15.72 | 28.47 20.98–35.95 18.93–38.00 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 12.37 9.42–15.31 8.59–16.14 | 7.26 4.58–9.94 3.84–10.68 | 19.63 14.01–25.25 12.44–26.82 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.81 2.93–6.69 2.39–7.24 | 3.29 1.64–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 8.11 4.57–11.64 3.54–12.68 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.27 4.06–8.49 3.49–9.06 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.39–6.45 | 10.20 5.98–14.41 4.87–15.52 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 52.98 46.19–59.77 44.52–61.44 | 47.72 40.94–54.51 39.27–56.18 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 497 430–565 412–583 | 435 369–502 351–519 | 932 799–1066 763–1102 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.33 72.30–80.36 71.01–81.65 | 77.92 73.60–82.25 72.29–83.56 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.06 8.22–13.90 7.47–14.66 | 12.84 9.89–15.78 9.14–16.53 | 23.90 18.12–29.68 16.61–31.19 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.58 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.41 1.16–5.66 0.57–6.25 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.69 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.92–6.40 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 3.63 2.07–5.19 1.65–5.61 | 6.29 3.29–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.