Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.392.69safe0.33–2.270.54–2.250.87–4.51safer0.08–2.520.31–2.470.39–4.99
Shots on target
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.559.16safe2.75–6.472.81–6.295.55–12.76safer2.26–6.962.34–6.764.60–13.72
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7012.3327.03safe10.77–18.628.76–15.8919.54–34.51safer9.68–19.727.80–16.8517.49–36.56
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction9.359.2318.58safe6.40–12.296.55–11.9112.96–24.20safer5.57–13.125.81–12.6511.39–25.77
Blocked shots
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.793.828.61safe2.91–6.672.17–5.485.08–12.15safer2.36–7.221.68–5.974.04–13.18
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.6010.49safe3.68–8.102.60–6.606.28–14.71safer3.10–8.682.07–7.145.17–15.81
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.2442.44safe51.45–65.0335.66–49.23safer49.78–66.7033.99–50.90
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction566407973safe499–633340–473839–1106safer481–651323–491803–1142
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction74.2369.57safe70.20–78.2665.24–73.89safer68.91–79.5663.94–75.20
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7710.2220.99safe7.94–13.617.28–13.1715.21–26.78safer7.18–14.376.53–13.9113.71–28.28
Offsides
23%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.983.17safe0.03–2.350.89–3.070.91–5.42safer0.00–2.650.60–3.360.33–6.01
Yellow cards
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.593.01safe0.37–2.470.46–2.720.83–5.19safer0.11–2.740.17–3.010.27–5.74
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.060.12safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.380.00–0.75
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.035.83safe1.37–4.241.48–4.592.84–8.83safer0.98–4.631.05–5.012.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.47 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 4.55 2.81–6.29 2.34–6.76 | 9.16 5.55–12.76 4.60–13.72 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.70 10.77–18.62 9.68–19.72 | 12.33 8.76–15.89 7.80–16.85 | 27.03 19.54–34.51 17.49–36.56 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.35 6.40–12.29 5.57–13.12 | 9.23 6.55–11.91 5.81–12.65 | 18.58 12.96–24.20 11.39–25.77 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.79 2.91–6.67 2.36–7.22 | 3.82 2.17–5.48 1.68–5.97 | 8.61 5.08–12.15 4.04–13.18 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.68–8.10 3.10–8.68 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.07–7.14 | 10.49 6.28–14.71 5.17–15.81 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 58.24 51.45–65.03 49.78–66.70 | 42.44 35.66–49.23 33.99–50.90 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 566 499–633 481–651 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 973 839–1106 803–1142 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.23 70.20–78.26 68.91–79.56 | 69.57 65.24–73.89 63.94–75.20 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 10.77 7.94–13.61 7.18–14.37 | 10.22 7.28–13.17 6.53–13.91 | 20.99 15.21–26.78 13.71–28.28 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.19 0.03–2.35 0.00–2.65 | 1.98 0.89–3.07 0.60–3.36 | 3.17 0.91–5.42 0.33–6.01 | 23% 22% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 3.01 0.83–5.19 0.27–5.74 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.03 1.48–4.59 1.05–5.01 | 5.83 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.