Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.492.83safe0.37–2.310.64–2.351.01–4.66safer0.12–2.560.41–2.580.53–5.14
Shots on target
38%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.314.699.01safe2.45–6.182.95–6.435.40–12.61safer1.96–6.672.48–6.904.44–13.57
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1413.4926.63safe9.22–17.079.92–17.0519.14–34.12safer8.13–18.168.97–18.0117.09–36.17
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.709.6518.36safe5.76–11.656.97–12.3312.73–23.98safer4.93–12.486.23–13.0711.17–25.55
Blocked shots
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.134.208.33safe2.25–6.012.55–5.854.80–11.87safer1.71–6.562.05–6.353.76–12.90
Corners
42%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.945.1110.04safe2.72–7.153.11–7.115.83–14.26safer2.15–7.732.57–7.644.72–15.36
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.4949.93safe43.70–57.2843.15–56.72safer42.03–58.9541.48–58.39
Passes
56%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction447428875safe380–514362–495742–1009safer362–533344–512706–1045
Pass accuracy %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction69.0272.46safe64.99–73.0568.13–76.78safer63.69–74.3466.82–78.09
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2111.4423.65safe9.37–15.058.49–14.3817.87–29.43safer8.62–15.807.74–15.1316.36–30.93
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.793.69safe0.74–3.060.70–2.881.44–5.95safer0.44–3.360.41–3.170.85–6.54
Yellow cards
39%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.903.80safe0.85–2.950.77–3.031.62–5.98safer0.58–3.210.48–3.321.07–6.54
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.12safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.992.945.93safe1.56–4.431.38–4.502.94–8.92safer1.17–4.820.96–4.922.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.49 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.58 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.18 1.96–6.67 | 4.69 2.95–6.43 2.48–6.90 | 9.01 5.40–12.61 4.44–13.57 | 38% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.14 9.22–17.07 8.13–18.16 | 13.49 9.92–17.05 8.97–18.01 | 26.63 19.14–34.12 17.09–36.17 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.70 5.76–11.65 4.93–12.48 | 9.65 6.97–12.33 6.23–13.07 | 18.36 12.73–23.98 11.17–25.55 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.25–6.01 1.71–6.56 | 4.20 2.55–5.85 2.05–6.35 | 8.33 4.80–11.87 3.76–12.90 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.72–7.15 2.15–7.73 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.57–7.64 | 10.04 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.36 | 42% 46% |
| Possession % | 50.49 43.70–57.28 42.03–58.95 | 49.93 43.15–56.72 41.48–58.39 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 447 380–514 362–533 | 428 362–495 344–512 | 875 742–1009 706–1045 | 56% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.02 64.99–73.05 63.69–74.34 | 72.46 68.13–76.78 66.82–78.09 | — | 31% 65% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.05 8.62–15.80 | 11.44 8.49–14.38 7.74–15.13 | 23.65 17.87–29.43 16.36–30.93 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.69 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 39% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 2.94 1.38–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.13–9.74 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.