Premier League·Regular Season - 34·
Premier League·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.620.863.47safe1.65–3.580.00–1.711.65–5.30safer1.40–3.830.00–1.941.17–5.78
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.4710.13safe4.79–8.521.73–5.226.52–13.73safer4.30–9.011.27–5.685.57–14.69
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.048.9426.98safe14.11–21.965.38–12.5019.49–34.47safer13.02–23.064.42–13.4617.44–36.52
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.336.5918.92safe9.39–15.273.91–9.2713.30–24.55safer8.56–16.103.17–10.0111.73–26.11
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.482.217.69safe3.60–7.360.56–3.874.16–11.23safer3.05–7.910.07–4.363.12–12.27
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.433.5510.98safe5.22–9.651.55–5.556.77–15.20safer4.65–10.221.02–6.085.66–16.30
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction66.8232.55safe60.03–73.6125.76–39.33safer58.36–75.2824.09–41.00
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction654314968safe587–722247–380834–1102safer569–740230–398799–1137
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction81.7069.37safe77.67–85.7365.05–73.70safer76.38–87.0263.74–75.01
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2911.4920.77safe6.45–12.128.54–14.4314.99–26.55safer5.69–12.887.79–15.1813.49–28.06
Offsides
29%
18%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.644.62safe0.82–3.141.55–3.732.36–6.87safer0.52–3.441.26–4.021.78–7.46
Yellow cards
24%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.863.02safe0.11–2.210.73–2.990.84–5.19safer0.00–2.470.44–3.280.28–5.75
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.74
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.856.23safe0.94–3.822.30–5.413.24–9.23safer0.56–4.201.87–5.842.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.62 1.65–3.58 1.40–3.83 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 3.47 1.65–5.30 1.17–5.78 | 75% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.65 4.79–8.52 4.30–9.01 | 3.47 1.73–5.22 1.27–5.68 | 10.13 6.52–13.73 5.57–14.69 | 80% |
| Total shots | 18.04 14.11–21.96 13.02–23.06 | 8.94 5.38–12.50 4.42–13.46 | 26.98 19.49–34.47 17.44–36.52 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.33 9.39–15.27 8.56–16.10 | 6.59 3.91–9.27 3.17–10.01 | 18.92 13.30–24.55 11.73–26.11 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 5.48 3.60–7.36 3.05–7.91 | 2.21 0.56–3.87 0.07–4.36 | 7.69 4.16–11.23 3.12–12.27 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.43 5.22–9.65 4.65–10.22 | 3.55 1.55–5.55 1.02–6.08 | 10.98 6.77–15.20 5.66–16.30 | 85% |
| Possession % | 66.82 60.03–73.61 58.36–75.28 | 32.55 25.76–39.33 24.09–41.00 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 654 587–722 569–740 | 314 247–380 230–398 | 968 834–1102 799–1137 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.70 77.67–85.73 76.38–87.02 | 69.37 65.05–73.70 63.74–75.01 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 9.29 6.45–12.12 5.69–12.88 | 11.49 8.54–14.43 7.79–15.18 | 20.77 14.99–26.55 13.49–28.06 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 2.64 1.55–3.73 1.26–4.02 | 4.62 2.36–6.87 1.78–7.46 | 29% 18% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.16 0.11–2.21 0.00–2.47 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.02 0.84–5.19 0.28–5.75 | 24% 23% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.82 0.56–4.20 | 3.85 2.30–5.41 1.87–5.84 | 6.23 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+