Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.072.85safe0.81–2.740.22–1.931.02–4.67safer0.56–2.990.00–2.150.54–5.15
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.213.368.57safe3.35–7.071.61–5.104.96–12.17safer2.86–7.561.15–5.574.01–13.13
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction14.619.7324.33safe10.68–18.536.17–13.2916.85–31.82safer9.59–19.625.21–14.2514.80–33.87
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.256.9516.20safe6.31–12.194.27–9.6310.58–21.83safer5.48–13.023.53–10.379.01–23.39
Blocked shots
68%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.932.276.20safe2.05–5.820.62–3.922.67–9.74safer1.51–6.360.12–4.411.63–10.77
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.243.7810.02safe4.03–8.461.78–5.785.81–14.23safer3.46–9.031.24–6.314.70–15.34
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.5840.23safe53.79–67.3733.44–47.01safer52.12–69.0431.77–48.68
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction554358912safe487–622291–424778–1046safer469–640274–442743–1081
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction70.5463.81safe66.51–74.5759.49–68.13safer65.22–75.8658.18–69.44
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9212.5324.45safe9.08–14.759.59–15.4818.66–30.23safer8.32–15.518.84–16.2217.16–31.73
Offsides
33%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.125.69safe1.41–3.732.03–4.213.44–7.95safer1.11–4.031.74–4.502.85–8.54
Yellow cards
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.424.11safe0.64–2.741.29–3.551.93–6.29safer0.38–3.011.00–3.841.37–6.84
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.245.60safe0.92–3.791.69–4.802.61–8.59safer0.53–4.181.26–5.221.79–9.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.74 0.56–2.99 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.15 | 2.85 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.21 3.35–7.07 2.86–7.56 | 3.36 1.61–5.10 1.15–5.57 | 8.57 4.96–12.17 4.01–13.13 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 14.61 10.68–18.53 9.59–19.62 | 9.73 6.17–13.29 5.21–14.25 | 24.33 16.85–31.82 14.80–33.87 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.31–12.19 5.48–13.02 | 6.95 4.27–9.63 3.53–10.37 | 16.20 10.58–21.83 9.01–23.39 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.82 1.51–6.36 | 2.27 0.62–3.92 0.12–4.41 | 6.20 2.67–9.74 1.63–10.77 | 68% 13% 19% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.03–8.46 3.46–9.03 | 3.78 1.78–5.78 1.24–6.31 | 10.02 5.81–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 60.58 53.79–67.37 52.12–69.04 | 40.23 33.44–47.01 31.77–48.68 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 554 487–622 469–640 | 358 291–424 274–442 | 912 778–1046 743–1081 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.54 66.51–74.57 65.22–75.86 | 63.81 59.49–68.13 58.18–69.44 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.08–14.75 8.32–15.51 | 12.53 9.59–15.48 8.84–16.22 | 24.45 18.66–30.23 17.16–31.73 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.57 1.41–3.73 1.11–4.03 | 3.12 2.03–4.21 1.74–4.50 | 5.69 3.44–7.95 2.85–8.54 | 33% 17% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 2.42 1.29–3.55 1.00–3.84 | 4.11 1.93–6.29 1.37–6.84 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 3.24 1.69–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 5.60 2.61–8.59 1.79–9.40 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.