Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
26%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.482.43safe0.00–1.920.63–2.340.61–4.25safer0.00–2.170.40–2.570.13–4.73
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.364.808.16safe1.50–5.233.06–6.544.56–11.77safer1.01–5.722.59–7.013.60–12.73
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1714.6425.82safe7.25–15.1011.08–18.2018.33–33.30safer6.16–16.1910.12–19.1616.28–35.35
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction6.649.9816.62safe3.70–9.587.30–12.6611.00–22.24safer2.87–10.416.56–13.409.43–23.81
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.647.00safe1.47–5.241.99–5.293.46–10.53safer0.93–5.781.49–5.782.42–11.57
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.495.249.72safe2.27–6.703.24–7.245.51–13.94safer1.70–7.272.70–7.774.40–15.04
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.6550.41safe42.86–56.4443.62–57.19safer41.19–58.1141.95–58.86
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction472451924safe405–539385–518790–1057safer387–557367–535754–1093
Pass accuracy %
25%
70%
homeawayprediction64.7969.47safe60.76–68.8265.14–73.79safer59.47–70.1263.84–75.10
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7111.8522.56safe7.88–13.558.90–14.7916.78–28.34safer7.12–14.318.16–15.5415.28–29.85
Offsides
29%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.923.39safe0.30–2.620.83–3.021.13–5.64safer0.00–2.930.54–3.300.54–6.23
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.953.63safe0.63–2.730.82–3.071.45–5.80safer0.37–3.000.53–3.370.89–6.36
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
52%
17%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.162.545.70safe1.73–4.600.98–4.092.71–8.69safer1.34–4.990.55–4.521.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.43 0.61–4.25 0.13–4.73 | 24% 26% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.36 1.50–5.23 1.01–5.72 | 4.80 3.06–6.54 2.59–7.01 | 8.16 4.56–11.77 3.60–12.73 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 11.17 7.25–15.10 6.16–16.19 | 14.64 11.08–18.20 10.12–19.16 | 25.82 18.33–33.30 16.28–35.35 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 6.64 3.70–9.58 2.87–10.41 | 9.98 7.30–12.66 6.56–13.40 | 16.62 11.00–22.24 9.43–23.81 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.47–5.24 0.93–5.78 | 3.64 1.99–5.29 1.49–5.78 | 7.00 3.46–10.53 2.42–11.57 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.49 2.27–6.70 1.70–7.27 | 5.24 3.24–7.24 2.70–7.77 | 9.72 5.51–13.94 4.40–15.04 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 49.65 42.86–56.44 41.19–58.11 | 50.41 43.62–57.19 41.95–58.86 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 387–557 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 924 790–1057 754–1093 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.79 60.76–68.82 59.47–70.12 | 69.47 65.14–73.79 63.84–75.10 | — | 25% 70% |
| Fouls | 10.71 7.88–13.55 7.12–14.31 | 11.85 8.90–14.79 8.16–15.54 | 22.56 16.78–28.34 15.28–29.85 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.93 | 1.92 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.30 | 3.39 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 29% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 1.95 0.82–3.07 0.53–3.37 | 3.63 1.45–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 2.54 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.52 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.89–9.50 | 52% 17% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.