Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.762.95safe0.22–2.150.91–2.621.13–4.77safer0.00–2.400.68–2.850.65–5.25
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.969.01safe2.19–5.913.22–6.705.41–12.62safer1.70–6.402.75–7.174.45–13.57
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6813.6725.35safe7.76–15.6110.11–17.2317.87–32.84safer6.66–16.709.15–18.1915.82–34.89
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.719.2816.99safe4.77–10.656.60–11.9611.37–22.62safer3.94–11.485.86–12.709.80–24.18
Blocked shots
28%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.074.077.14safe1.19–4.952.42–5.733.61–10.68safer0.64–5.501.93–6.222.57–11.71
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.3110.23safe2.70–7.133.31–7.316.01–14.44safer2.13–7.702.78–7.844.91–15.55
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.5357.71safe35.74–49.3250.92–64.49safer34.07–50.9949.25–66.16
Passes
13%
87%
homeawaytotalprediction358491849safe291–425425–558715–983safer272–443407–575680–1018
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction59.8170.76safe55.78–63.8466.43–75.08safer54.48–65.1365.12–76.39
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5212.0824.59safe9.68–15.359.13–15.0218.81–30.37safer8.92–16.118.38–15.7717.31–31.88
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.373.05safe0.53–2.850.27–2.460.80–5.31safer0.23–3.150.00–2.750.21–5.90
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.683.57safe0.85–2.940.55–2.811.40–5.75safer0.58–3.210.26–3.100.84–6.31
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.292.846.13safe1.85–4.721.28–4.403.14–9.12safer1.46–5.110.86–4.822.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.76 0.91–2.62 0.68–2.85 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.91 1.70–6.40 | 4.96 3.22–6.70 2.75–7.17 | 9.01 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.57 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 11.68 7.76–15.61 6.66–16.70 | 13.67 10.11–17.23 9.15–18.19 | 25.35 17.87–32.84 15.82–34.89 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.71 4.77–10.65 3.94–11.48 | 9.28 6.60–11.96 5.86–12.70 | 16.99 11.37–22.62 9.80–24.18 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.95 0.64–5.50 | 4.07 2.42–5.73 1.93–6.22 | 7.14 3.61–10.68 2.57–11.71 | 28% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.70–7.13 2.13–7.70 | 5.31 3.31–7.31 2.78–7.84 | 10.23 6.01–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 42.53 35.74–49.32 34.07–50.99 | 57.71 50.92–64.49 49.25–66.16 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 358 291–425 272–443 | 491 425–558 407–575 | 849 715–983 680–1018 | 13% 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.81 55.78–63.84 54.48–65.13 | 70.76 66.43–75.08 65.12–76.39 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.52 9.68–15.35 8.92–16.11 | 12.08 9.13–15.02 8.38–15.77 | 24.59 18.81–30.37 17.31–31.88 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.05 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.57 1.40–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.85–4.72 1.46–5.11 | 2.84 1.28–4.40 0.86–4.82 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.