Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.142.90safe0.80–2.730.29–1.991.08–4.73safer0.54–2.980.06–2.220.60–5.21
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.119.21safe3.23–6.962.37–5.865.61–12.82safer2.74–7.451.91–6.324.65–13.77
Total shots
75%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1012.1028.20safe12.18–20.038.54–15.6620.71–35.69safer11.09–21.127.58–16.6218.66–37.74
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction10.258.0518.31safe7.31–13.205.37–10.7312.68–23.93safer6.48–14.034.63–11.4711.12–25.50
Blocked shots
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.354.008.35safe2.47–6.232.35–5.654.81–11.89safer1.93–6.781.85–6.143.78–12.92
Corners
59%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.4610.12safe3.44–7.872.46–6.465.91–14.33safer2.87–8.441.93–7.004.80–15.44
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction52.1048.86safe45.31–58.8942.08–55.65safer43.64–60.5640.41–57.32
Passes
64%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction503459961safe435–570392–525827–1095safer417–588375–543792–1131
Pass accuracy %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction72.5774.93safe68.54–76.6070.61–79.25safer67.25–77.8969.30–80.56
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5811.8022.38safe7.74–13.428.85–14.7416.59–28.16safer6.99–14.178.10–15.4915.09–29.66
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.553.37safe0.66–2.980.46–2.641.12–5.63safer0.36–3.280.17–2.930.53–6.21
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.983.50safe0.47–2.570.85–3.111.32–5.68safer0.21–2.840.56–3.400.77–6.24
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.356.21safe1.42–4.301.79–4.903.21–9.20safer1.04–4.681.37–5.332.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.80–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 1.14 0.29–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 2.90 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.23–6.96 2.74–7.45 | 4.11 2.37–5.86 1.91–6.32 | 9.21 5.61–12.82 4.65–13.77 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 16.10 12.18–20.03 11.09–21.12 | 12.10 8.54–15.66 7.58–16.62 | 28.20 20.71–35.69 18.66–37.74 | 75% 20% |
| Shots in box | 10.25 7.31–13.20 6.48–14.03 | 8.05 5.37–10.73 4.63–11.47 | 18.31 12.68–23.93 11.12–25.50 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.47–6.23 1.93–6.78 | 4.00 2.35–5.65 1.85–6.14 | 8.35 4.81–11.89 3.78–12.92 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.44–7.87 2.87–8.44 | 4.46 2.46–6.46 1.93–7.00 | 10.12 5.91–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 59% 30% |
| Possession % | 52.10 45.31–58.89 43.64–60.56 | 48.86 42.08–55.65 40.41–57.32 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 503 435–570 417–588 | 459 392–525 375–543 | 961 827–1095 792–1131 | 64% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.57 68.54–76.60 67.25–77.89 | 74.93 70.61–79.25 69.30–80.56 | — | 36% 60% |
| Fouls | 10.58 7.74–13.42 6.99–14.17 | 11.80 8.85–14.74 8.10–15.49 | 22.38 16.59–28.16 15.09–29.66 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.21 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.30 1.04–4.68 | 3.35 1.79–4.90 1.37–5.33 | 6.21 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+