Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
22%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.880.872.75safe0.91–2.850.01–1.720.93–4.57safer0.66–3.100.00–1.950.45–5.05
Shots on target
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.063.199.24safe4.19–7.921.44–4.935.64–12.85safer3.70–8.410.98–5.394.68–13.80
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6510.2926.94safe12.73–20.586.72–13.8519.45–34.43safer11.64–21.675.76–14.8117.40–36.48
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.106.5017.60safe8.16–14.043.82–9.1811.97–23.22safer7.33–14.873.08–9.9210.41–24.79
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.807.21safe2.53–6.291.15–4.453.67–10.74safer1.98–6.830.66–4.952.64–11.78
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.7510.40safe4.44–8.861.75–5.756.19–14.61safer3.86–9.441.21–6.285.08–15.72
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.8738.69safe55.08–68.6631.90–45.47safer53.41–70.3330.23–47.14
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction598364962safe531–665297–430828–1096safer513–684280–448793–1131
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction71.7565.71safe67.72–75.7861.38–70.03safer66.43–77.0760.07–71.34
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1411.0621.20safe7.31–12.988.12–14.0115.42–26.99safer6.55–13.747.37–14.7513.92–28.49
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.873.87safe0.84–3.160.78–2.971.62–6.13safer0.54–3.460.49–3.261.03–6.72
Yellow cards
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.282.073.34safe0.23–2.330.94–3.191.17–5.52safer0.00–2.590.64–3.490.61–6.08
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
19%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.926.22safe0.87–3.742.36–5.483.23–9.21safer0.48–4.131.94–5.902.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.85 0.66–3.10 | 0.87 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 61% 22% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.06 4.19–7.92 3.70–8.41 | 3.19 1.44–4.93 0.98–5.39 | 9.24 5.64–12.85 4.68–13.80 | 78% |
| Total shots | 16.65 12.73–20.58 11.64–21.67 | 10.29 6.72–13.85 5.76–14.81 | 26.94 19.45–34.43 17.40–36.48 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.10 8.16–14.04 7.33–14.87 | 6.50 3.82–9.18 3.08–9.92 | 17.60 11.97–23.22 10.41–24.79 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.53–6.29 1.98–6.83 | 2.80 1.15–4.45 0.66–4.95 | 7.21 3.67–10.74 2.64–11.78 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 6.65 4.44–8.86 3.86–9.44 | 3.75 1.75–5.75 1.21–6.28 | 10.40 6.19–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 61.87 55.08–68.66 53.41–70.33 | 38.69 31.90–45.47 30.23–47.14 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 598 531–665 513–684 | 364 297–430 280–448 | 962 828–1096 793–1131 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.75 67.72–75.78 66.43–77.07 | 65.71 61.38–70.03 60.07–71.34 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 10.14 7.31–12.98 6.55–13.74 | 11.06 8.12–14.01 7.37–14.75 | 21.20 15.42–26.99 13.92–28.49 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.87 0.78–2.97 0.49–3.26 | 3.87 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.72 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.23–2.33 0.00–2.59 | 2.07 0.94–3.19 0.64–3.49 | 3.34 1.17–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 3.92 2.36–5.48 1.94–5.90 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.42–10.03 | 19% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+