Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.992.013.00safe0.02–1.961.15–2.861.17–4.82safer0.00–2.210.93–3.090.69–5.30
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.485.498.97safe1.62–5.343.75–7.235.37–12.58safer1.13–5.833.28–7.704.41–13.53
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9315.3427.27safe8.00–15.8511.78–18.9019.78–34.76safer6.91–16.9410.82–19.8617.73–36.81
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7610.3617.13safe3.82–9.717.68–13.0511.51–22.75safer2.99–10.546.95–13.789.94–24.32
Blocked shots
32%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.364.117.47safe1.48–5.252.46–5.763.94–11.01safer0.94–5.791.96–6.252.90–12.04
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.385.569.93safe2.16–6.593.56–7.565.72–14.15safer1.59–7.163.02–8.094.61–15.25
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.0954.93safe38.30–51.8848.15–61.72safer36.63–53.5546.48–63.39
Passes
32%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction410465875safe343–477399–532742–1009safer325–495381–549706–1045
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction59.9969.67safe55.96–64.0265.35–74.00safer54.67–65.3164.04–75.31
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5512.6025.15safe9.71–15.399.66–15.5519.37–30.94safer8.96–16.148.91–16.3017.87–32.44
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.013.68safe0.51–2.830.92–3.101.43–5.94safer0.21–3.130.63–3.390.84–6.53
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.142.054.18safe1.09–3.190.92–3.182.01–6.36safer0.82–3.450.63–3.471.45–6.92
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.616.12safe2.07–4.941.05–4.163.12–9.11safer1.68–5.330.63–4.592.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 2.01 1.15–2.86 0.93–3.09 | 3.00 1.17–4.82 0.69–5.30 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.48 1.62–5.34 1.13–5.83 | 5.49 3.75–7.23 3.28–7.70 | 8.97 5.37–12.58 4.41–13.53 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 11.93 8.00–15.85 6.91–16.94 | 15.34 11.78–18.90 10.82–19.86 | 27.27 19.78–34.76 17.73–36.81 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 6.76 3.82–9.71 2.99–10.54 | 10.36 7.68–13.05 6.95–13.78 | 17.13 11.51–22.75 9.94–24.32 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.48–5.25 0.94–5.79 | 4.11 2.46–5.76 1.96–6.25 | 7.47 3.94–11.01 2.90–12.04 | 32% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.38 2.16–6.59 1.59–7.16 | 5.56 3.56–7.56 3.02–8.09 | 9.93 5.72–14.15 4.61–15.25 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 45.09 38.30–51.88 36.63–53.55 | 54.93 48.15–61.72 46.48–63.39 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 410 343–477 325–495 | 465 399–532 381–549 | 875 742–1009 706–1045 | 32% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.99 55.96–64.02 54.67–65.31 | 69.67 65.35–74.00 64.04–75.31 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.39 8.96–16.14 | 12.60 9.66–15.55 8.91–16.30 | 25.15 19.37–30.94 17.87–32.44 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 2.01 0.92–3.10 0.63–3.39 | 3.68 1.43–5.94 0.84–6.53 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.82–3.45 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 4.18 2.01–6.36 1.45–6.92 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.07–4.94 1.68–5.33 | 2.61 1.05–4.16 0.63–4.59 | 6.12 3.12–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+