Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
20%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.002.093.09safe0.03–1.961.24–2.941.26–4.91safer0.00–2.221.01–3.170.78–5.39
Shots on target
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.576.089.65safe1.71–5.444.34–7.826.04–13.26safer1.22–5.923.87–8.295.09–14.21
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6717.3829.05safe7.75–15.6013.82–20.9421.56–36.54safer6.66–16.6912.86–21.9019.51–38.59
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction7.7911.8319.63safe4.85–10.749.15–14.5114.00–25.25safer4.02–11.578.41–15.2512.44–26.82
Blocked shots
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.585.208.79safe1.70–5.473.55–6.865.25–12.32safer1.16–6.013.06–7.354.22–13.36
Corners
22%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.346.3310.68safe2.13–6.564.33–8.336.46–14.89safer1.56–7.133.80–8.875.36–16.00
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.5964.27safe29.80–43.3857.49–71.06safer28.13–45.0555.82–72.73
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction334585919safe267–401518–651785–1052safer249–419501–669749–1088
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction61.4680.18safe57.43–65.4975.86–84.51safer56.14–66.7974.55–85.82
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5611.2122.78safe8.73–14.408.27–14.1616.99–28.56safer7.97–15.167.52–14.9015.49–30.06
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.413.30safe0.73–3.050.31–2.501.05–5.55safer0.43–3.360.02–2.790.46–6.14
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.713.58safe0.82–2.920.58–2.841.40–5.76safer0.55–3.180.29–3.130.84–6.31
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.862.446.30safe2.43–5.300.88–3.993.31–9.29safer2.04–5.690.46–4.422.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.96 0.00–2.22 | 2.09 1.24–2.94 1.01–3.17 | 3.09 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 17% 20% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.57 1.71–5.44 1.22–5.92 | 6.08 4.34–7.82 3.87–8.29 | 9.65 6.04–13.26 5.09–14.21 | 16% 74% |
| Total shots | 11.67 7.75–15.60 6.66–16.69 | 17.38 13.82–20.94 12.86–21.90 | 29.05 21.56–36.54 19.51–38.59 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 7.79 4.85–10.74 4.02–11.57 | 11.83 9.15–14.51 8.41–15.25 | 19.63 14.00–25.25 12.44–26.82 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.47 1.16–6.01 | 5.20 3.55–6.86 3.06–7.35 | 8.79 5.25–12.32 4.22–13.36 | 24% 65% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.13–6.56 1.56–7.13 | 6.33 4.33–8.33 3.80–8.87 | 10.68 6.46–14.89 5.36–16.00 | 22% 68% |
| Possession % | 36.59 29.80–43.38 28.13–45.05 | 64.27 57.49–71.06 55.82–72.73 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 334 267–401 249–419 | 585 518–651 501–669 | 919 785–1052 749–1088 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.46 57.43–65.49 56.14–66.79 | 80.18 75.86–84.51 74.55–85.82 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.73–14.40 7.97–15.16 | 11.21 8.27–14.16 7.52–14.90 | 22.78 16.99–28.56 15.49–30.06 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.36 | 1.41 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.84–6.31 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.86 2.43–5.30 2.04–5.69 | 2.44 0.88–3.99 0.46–4.42 | 6.30 3.31–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.