Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.462.79safe0.36–2.300.61–2.320.97–4.62safer0.11–2.550.38–2.550.49–5.10
Shots on target
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.399.04safe2.80–6.522.64–6.135.44–12.65safer2.31–7.012.18–6.594.48–13.60
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5511.6726.22safe10.62–18.478.11–15.2418.74–33.71safer9.53–19.567.15–16.2016.68–35.76
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.308.2817.58safe6.36–12.245.60–10.9611.95–23.20safer5.53–13.074.86–11.7010.39–24.77
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.467.71safe2.37–6.141.80–5.114.18–11.25safer1.83–6.681.31–5.603.14–12.28
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.434.8710.30safe3.22–7.652.87–6.876.09–14.52safer2.65–8.222.33–7.404.98–15.62
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction51.6847.71safe44.89–58.4740.92–54.49safer43.22–60.1439.25–56.17
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction460434894safe393–528367–500760–1028safer375–546350–518725–1063
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction66.8969.77safe62.86–70.9265.44–74.09safer61.56–72.2164.13–75.40
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2711.4121.68safe7.43–13.118.46–14.3515.90–27.46safer6.68–13.867.71–15.1014.39–28.97
Offsides
35%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.963.72safe0.60–2.920.87–3.061.47–5.98safer0.30–3.220.58–3.350.88–6.57
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.003.51safe0.46–2.560.87–3.131.33–5.68safer0.19–2.820.58–3.420.77–6.24
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.286.07safe1.35–4.221.72–4.833.07–9.06safer0.96–4.611.30–5.262.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.46 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 34% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.80–6.52 2.31–7.01 | 4.39 2.64–6.13 2.18–6.59 | 9.04 5.44–12.65 4.48–13.60 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.55 10.62–18.47 9.53–19.56 | 11.67 8.11–15.24 7.15–16.20 | 26.22 18.74–33.71 16.68–35.76 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.30 6.36–12.24 5.53–13.07 | 8.28 5.60–10.96 4.86–11.70 | 17.58 11.95–23.20 10.39–24.77 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.37–6.14 1.83–6.68 | 3.46 1.80–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 7.71 4.18–11.25 3.14–12.28 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.65 2.65–8.22 | 4.87 2.87–6.87 2.33–7.40 | 10.30 6.09–14.52 4.98–15.62 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 51.68 44.89–58.47 43.22–60.14 | 47.71 40.92–54.49 39.25–56.17 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 460 393–528 375–546 | 434 367–500 350–518 | 894 760–1028 725–1063 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.89 62.86–70.92 61.56–72.21 | 69.77 65.44–74.09 64.13–75.40 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 10.27 7.43–13.11 6.68–13.86 | 11.41 8.46–14.35 7.71–15.10 | 21.68 15.90–27.46 14.39–28.97 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.96 0.87–3.06 0.58–3.35 | 3.72 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 35% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.51 1.33–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.28 1.72–4.83 1.30–5.26 | 6.07 3.07–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+