Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.830.972.80safe0.86–2.800.11–1.820.97–4.62safer0.61–3.050.00–2.050.49–5.10
Shots on target
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.189.95safe3.91–7.642.43–5.926.35–13.56safer3.42–8.131.97–6.385.39–14.51
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5011.2428.75safe13.58–21.437.68–14.8121.26–36.23safer12.49–22.526.72–15.7719.21–38.28
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.876.7617.63safe7.92–13.814.08–9.4512.01–23.25safer7.09–14.643.35–10.1810.44–24.82
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.612.967.57safe2.72–6.491.31–4.624.03–11.10safer2.18–7.030.82–5.113.00–12.14
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.524.3610.87safe4.30–8.732.36–6.366.66–15.09safer3.73–9.301.82–6.895.55–16.19
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction56.1544.47safe49.36–62.9437.68–51.25safer47.69–64.6136.01–52.93
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction482386867safe415–549319–452734–1001safer396–567302–470698–1037
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction68.4267.00safe64.39–72.4562.68–71.33safer63.10–73.7461.37–72.64
Fouls
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1214.4124.53safe7.28–12.9611.47–17.3618.75–30.31safer6.53–13.7110.72–18.1117.24–31.82
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.933.94safe0.85–3.170.84–3.031.69–6.20safer0.55–3.470.55–3.321.10–6.78
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.494.00safe0.46–2.561.36–3.621.82–6.18safer0.20–2.831.07–3.911.27–6.74
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.320.00–0.55safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.766.36safe1.17–4.042.20–5.323.37–9.35safer0.78–4.431.78–5.742.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.80 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 58% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.91–7.64 3.42–8.13 | 4.18 2.43–5.92 1.97–6.38 | 9.95 6.35–13.56 5.39–14.51 | 64% 25% |
| Total shots | 17.50 13.58–21.43 12.49–22.52 | 11.24 7.68–14.81 6.72–15.77 | 28.75 21.26–36.23 19.21–38.28 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.87 7.92–13.81 7.09–14.64 | 6.76 4.08–9.45 3.35–10.18 | 17.63 12.01–23.25 10.44–24.82 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.72–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 2.96 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 7.57 4.03–11.10 3.00–12.14 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.52 4.30–8.73 3.73–9.30 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.82–6.89 | 10.87 6.66–15.09 5.55–16.19 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 56.15 49.36–62.94 47.69–64.61 | 44.47 37.68–51.25 36.01–52.93 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 482 415–549 396–567 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 867 734–1001 698–1037 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.42 64.39–72.45 63.10–73.74 | 67.00 62.68–71.33 61.37–72.64 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 10.12 7.28–12.96 6.53–13.71 | 14.41 11.47–17.36 10.72–18.11 | 24.53 18.75–30.31 17.24–31.82 | 17% 78% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 1.93 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.32 | 3.94 1.69–6.20 1.10–6.78 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 2.49 1.36–3.62 1.07–3.91 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.27–6.74 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.76 2.20–5.32 1.78–5.74 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.56–10.17 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.