Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.752.91safe0.19–2.130.89–2.601.08–4.73safer0.00–2.380.66–2.830.60–5.21
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.905.369.26safe2.04–5.763.61–7.105.65–12.86safer1.55–6.253.15–7.564.69–13.82
Total shots
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8315.5126.34safe6.91–14.7611.95–19.0718.85–33.83safer5.82–15.8510.99–20.0316.80–35.88
Shots in box
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction7.1210.6817.80safe4.17–10.068.00–13.3612.17–23.42safer3.34–10.897.26–14.1010.61–24.99
Blocked shots
23%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.014.517.52safe1.13–4.892.86–6.173.99–11.06safer0.59–5.442.37–6.662.95–12.09
Corners
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.705.749.44safe1.49–5.923.74–7.745.23–13.65safer0.92–6.493.20–8.274.12–14.76
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.9960.10safe34.20–47.7853.32–66.89safer32.53–49.4551.64–68.56
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction354513867safe287–422446–579733–1001safer269–440429–597698–1036
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction60.0675.03safe56.03–64.0970.71–79.35safer54.74–65.3869.40–80.66
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6711.8325.50safe10.84–16.518.89–14.7819.72–31.29safer10.08–17.278.14–15.5218.22–32.79
Offsides
66%
15%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.331.885.20safe2.17–4.490.78–2.972.95–7.46safer1.87–4.790.49–3.262.36–8.05
Yellow cards
43%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.944.06safe1.07–3.170.82–3.071.89–6.24safer0.80–3.430.52–3.361.33–6.80
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.576.03safe2.03–4.901.02–4.133.04–9.03safer1.64–5.290.59–4.552.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.75 0.89–2.60 0.66–2.83 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.90 2.04–5.76 1.55–6.25 | 5.36 3.61–7.10 3.15–7.56 | 9.26 5.65–12.86 4.69–13.82 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 10.83 6.91–14.76 5.82–15.85 | 15.51 11.95–19.07 10.99–20.03 | 26.34 18.85–33.83 16.80–35.88 | 16% 79% |
| Shots in box | 7.12 4.17–10.06 3.34–10.89 | 10.68 8.00–13.36 7.26–14.10 | 17.80 12.17–23.42 10.61–24.99 | 17% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 3.01 1.13–4.89 0.59–5.44 | 4.51 2.86–6.17 2.37–6.66 | 7.52 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 23% 64% |
| Corners | 3.70 1.49–5.92 0.92–6.49 | 5.74 3.74–7.74 3.20–8.27 | 9.44 5.23–13.65 4.12–14.76 | 20% 69% |
| Possession % | 40.99 34.20–47.78 32.53–49.45 | 60.10 53.32–66.89 51.64–68.56 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 354 287–422 269–440 | 513 446–579 429–597 | 867 733–1001 698–1036 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.06 56.03–64.09 54.74–65.38 | 75.03 70.71–79.35 69.40–80.66 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 13.67 10.84–16.51 10.08–17.27 | 11.83 8.89–14.78 8.14–15.52 | 25.50 19.72–31.29 18.22–32.79 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 3.33 2.17–4.49 1.87–4.79 | 1.88 0.78–2.97 0.49–3.26 | 5.20 2.95–7.46 2.36–8.05 | 66% 15% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.80–3.43 | 1.94 0.82–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 4.06 1.89–6.24 1.33–6.80 | 43% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.03–4.90 1.64–5.29 | 2.57 1.02–4.13 0.59–4.55 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.