Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
28%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.132.35safe0.24–2.180.28–1.990.52–4.17safer0.00–2.430.05–2.220.04–4.65
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.193.747.93safe2.33–6.052.00–5.494.33–11.54safer1.84–6.541.54–5.953.37–12.50
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5911.3323.92safe8.67–16.527.77–14.8916.44–31.41safer7.58–17.616.81–15.8514.39–33.46
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.457.9716.41safe5.50–11.395.29–10.6510.79–22.04safer4.68–12.224.55–11.399.22–23.60
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.986.64safe1.79–5.551.32–4.633.11–10.18safer1.24–6.090.83–5.122.07–11.22
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.639.87safe3.02–7.452.63–6.635.66–14.08safer2.45–8.022.10–7.174.55–15.19
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction47.7751.95safe40.98–54.5645.17–58.74safer39.31–56.2343.50–60.41
Passes
32%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction388443831safe321–455376–509697–965safer303–473359–527662–1000
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction62.2068.05safe58.17–66.2363.72–72.37safer56.88–67.5262.41–73.68
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2212.5026.72safe11.39–17.069.56–15.4420.94–32.50safer10.63–17.828.81–16.1919.44–34.01
Offsides
39%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.442.92safe0.32–2.640.34–2.530.67–5.17safer0.02–2.940.06–2.820.08–5.76
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.013.93safe0.87–2.970.88–3.141.75–6.11safer0.61–3.240.59–3.431.19–6.67
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.432.895.32safe1.00–3.871.33–4.452.33–8.32safer0.61–4.260.91–4.871.52–9.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.35 0.52–4.17 0.04–4.65 | 38% 28% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.33–6.05 1.84–6.54 | 3.74 2.00–5.49 1.54–5.95 | 7.93 4.33–11.54 3.37–12.50 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 12.59 8.67–16.52 7.58–17.61 | 11.33 7.77–14.89 6.81–15.85 | 23.92 16.44–31.41 14.39–33.46 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.45 5.50–11.39 4.68–12.22 | 7.97 5.29–10.65 4.55–11.39 | 16.41 10.79–22.04 9.22–23.60 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 2.98 1.32–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 6.64 3.11–10.18 2.07–11.22 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.10–7.17 | 9.87 5.66–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 47.77 40.98–54.56 39.31–56.23 | 51.95 45.17–58.74 43.50–60.41 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–473 | 443 376–509 359–527 | 831 697–965 662–1000 | 32% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.20 58.17–66.23 56.88–67.52 | 68.05 63.72–72.37 62.41–73.68 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 14.22 11.39–17.06 10.63–17.82 | 12.50 9.56–15.44 8.81–16.19 | 26.72 20.94–32.50 19.44–34.01 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.44 0.34–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 2.92 0.67–5.17 0.08–5.76 | 39% 25% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.19–6.67 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 2.89 1.33–4.45 0.91–4.87 | 5.32 2.33–8.32 1.52–9.13 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+