Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.040.902.94safe1.07–3.010.04–1.751.11–4.76safer0.82–3.260.00–1.980.63–5.24
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.183.129.30safe4.32–8.051.38–4.865.70–12.91safer3.83–8.540.91–5.334.74–13.86
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.469.4427.90safe14.53–22.385.88–13.0120.41–35.39safer13.44–23.474.92–13.9718.36–37.44
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.655.7117.36safe8.71–14.603.03–8.3911.74–22.99safer7.88–15.422.29–9.1310.17–24.55
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.893.238.11safe3.00–6.771.57–4.884.58–11.65safer2.46–7.311.08–5.373.54–12.68
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.333.7810.11safe4.11–8.541.78–5.795.90–14.33safer3.54–9.111.25–6.324.79–15.43
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.6345.19safe48.84–62.4238.40–51.97safer47.17–64.0936.73–53.64
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction547428975safe479–614362–495841–1109safer461–632344–512806–1144
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction74.0069.98safe69.97–78.0365.66–74.31safer68.68–79.3264.35–75.61
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3712.2723.64safe8.53–14.209.33–15.2217.86–29.42safer7.77–14.968.58–15.9716.35–30.93
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.753.55safe0.65–2.970.65–2.841.30–5.81safer0.35–3.270.37–3.130.71–6.40
Yellow cards
27%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.873.21safe0.28–2.380.74–3.001.03–5.38safer0.02–2.650.45–3.290.47–5.94
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.354.016.36safe0.92–3.792.45–5.563.37–9.35safer0.53–4.182.03–5.992.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.18 4.32–8.05 3.83–8.54 | 3.12 1.38–4.86 0.91–5.33 | 9.30 5.70–12.91 4.74–13.86 | 80% |
| Total shots | 18.46 14.53–22.38 13.44–23.47 | 9.44 5.88–13.01 4.92–13.97 | 27.90 20.41–35.39 18.36–37.44 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.65 8.71–14.60 7.88–15.42 | 5.71 3.03–8.39 2.29–9.13 | 17.36 11.74–22.99 10.17–24.55 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.89 3.00–6.77 2.46–7.31 | 3.23 1.57–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 8.11 4.58–11.65 3.54–12.68 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.33 4.11–8.54 3.54–9.11 | 3.78 1.78–5.79 1.25–6.32 | 10.11 5.90–14.33 4.79–15.43 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 55.63 48.84–62.42 47.17–64.09 | 45.19 38.40–51.97 36.73–53.64 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 547 479–614 461–632 | 428 362–495 344–512 | 975 841–1109 806–1144 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.00 69.97–78.03 68.68–79.32 | 69.98 65.66–74.31 64.35–75.61 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 11.37 8.53–14.20 7.77–14.96 | 12.27 9.33–15.22 8.58–15.97 | 23.64 17.86–29.42 16.35–30.93 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.55 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.21 1.03–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 4.01 2.45–5.56 2.03–5.99 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+