Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.102.81safe0.73–2.670.25–1.960.98–4.63safer0.48–2.920.02–2.190.50–5.11
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.153.598.74safe3.28–7.011.85–5.335.13–12.34safer2.80–7.501.38–5.804.18–13.30
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6510.6326.28safe11.72–19.577.07–14.1918.79–33.77safer10.63–20.666.11–15.1516.74–35.82
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.436.6217.05safe7.48–13.373.94–9.3011.43–22.67safer6.66–14.203.21–10.049.86–24.24
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.986.77safe1.90–5.671.33–4.643.23–10.31safer1.36–6.210.84–5.132.20–11.34
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.834.1810.01safe3.62–8.052.18–6.185.80–14.22safer3.04–8.621.65–6.714.69–15.33
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.2848.91safe44.49–58.0742.12–55.69safer42.82–59.7440.45–57.36
Passes
57%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction437414851safe370–504348–481717–985safer351–522330–498682–1020
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction62.4967.73safe58.46–66.5263.41–72.06safer57.17–67.8162.10–73.37
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0712.4224.49safe9.23–14.919.48–15.3718.71–30.27safer8.48–15.668.73–16.1217.20–31.78
Offsides
23%
18%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.744.45safe0.55–2.871.65–3.832.20–6.70safer0.25–3.171.36–4.121.61–7.29
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.084.06safe0.94–3.040.95–3.211.89–6.24safer0.67–3.300.66–3.501.33–6.80
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.403.435.83safe0.96–3.841.88–4.992.84–8.82safer0.58–4.221.45–5.412.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.81 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.28–7.01 2.80–7.50 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 8.74 5.13–12.34 4.18–13.30 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.65 11.72–19.57 10.63–20.66 | 10.63 7.07–14.19 6.11–15.15 | 26.28 18.79–33.77 16.74–35.82 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.43 7.48–13.37 6.66–14.20 | 6.62 3.94–9.30 3.21–10.04 | 17.05 11.43–22.67 9.86–24.24 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.90–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 2.98 1.33–4.64 0.84–5.13 | 6.77 3.23–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.62–8.05 3.04–8.62 | 4.18 2.18–6.18 1.65–6.71 | 10.01 5.80–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 51.28 44.49–58.07 42.82–59.74 | 48.91 42.12–55.69 40.45–57.36 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 437 370–504 351–522 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 851 717–985 682–1020 | 57% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.49 58.46–66.52 57.17–67.81 | 67.73 63.41–72.06 62.10–73.37 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 12.07 9.23–14.91 8.48–15.66 | 12.42 9.48–15.37 8.73–16.12 | 24.49 18.71–30.27 17.20–31.78 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 2.74 1.65–3.83 1.36–4.12 | 4.45 2.20–6.70 1.61–7.29 | 23% 18% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 4.06 1.89–6.24 1.33–6.80 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.84 0.58–4.22 | 3.43 1.88–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 5.83 2.84–8.82 2.03–9.64 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.