Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.442.63safe0.22–2.150.59–2.300.81–4.45safer0.00–2.400.36–2.530.33–4.93
Shots on target
35%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.104.758.85safe2.24–5.973.01–6.495.25–12.46safer1.75–6.452.54–6.964.29–13.41
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7013.5726.27safe8.78–16.6310.00–17.1318.78–33.76safer7.69–17.729.05–18.0916.73–35.81
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction7.979.0116.98safe5.02–10.916.33–11.6911.36–22.60safer4.20–11.745.59–12.439.79–24.17
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.633.797.43safe1.75–5.512.14–5.453.89–10.96safer1.21–6.061.65–5.942.86–12.00
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.035.3210.34safe2.81–7.243.32–7.326.13–14.56safer2.24–7.812.79–7.855.02–15.67
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.3250.80safe42.53–56.1144.02–57.59safer40.86–57.7842.35–59.26
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction447434881safe380–514368–501747–1015safer362–532350–518712–1050
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction65.1370.50safe61.10–69.1666.18–74.83safer59.81–70.4564.87–76.14
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3612.3123.67safe8.52–14.199.37–15.2617.89–29.45safer7.76–14.958.62–16.0116.38–30.96
Offsides
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.963.94safe0.82–3.140.87–3.061.69–6.20safer0.52–3.440.58–3.341.10–6.79
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.033.86safe0.78–2.880.90–3.161.68–6.04safer0.51–3.140.61–3.451.12–6.59
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.122.956.08safe1.69–4.561.40–4.513.09–9.07safer1.30–4.950.97–4.942.27–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.44 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.10 2.24–5.97 1.75–6.45 | 4.75 3.01–6.49 2.54–6.96 | 8.85 5.25–12.46 4.29–13.41 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.70 8.78–16.63 7.69–17.72 | 13.57 10.00–17.13 9.05–18.09 | 26.27 18.78–33.76 16.73–35.81 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 7.97 5.02–10.91 4.20–11.74 | 9.01 6.33–11.69 5.59–12.43 | 16.98 11.36–22.60 9.79–24.17 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.51 1.21–6.06 | 3.79 2.14–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.86–12.00 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 5.03 2.81–7.24 2.24–7.81 | 5.32 3.32–7.32 2.79–7.85 | 10.34 6.13–14.56 5.02–15.67 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 49.32 42.53–56.11 40.86–57.78 | 50.80 44.02–57.59 42.35–59.26 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 447 380–514 362–532 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 881 747–1015 712–1050 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.13 61.10–69.16 59.81–70.45 | 70.50 66.18–74.83 64.87–76.14 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 11.36 8.52–14.19 7.76–14.95 | 12.31 9.37–15.26 8.62–16.01 | 23.67 17.89–29.45 16.38–30.96 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.96 0.87–3.06 0.58–3.34 | 3.94 1.69–6.20 1.10–6.79 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.14 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.12–6.59 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.94 | 6.08 3.09–9.07 2.27–9.88 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+