Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.052.43safe0.42–2.350.20–1.900.61–4.26safer0.16–2.600.00–2.130.13–4.74
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.853.778.62safe2.99–6.712.03–5.515.02–12.23safer2.50–7.201.56–5.984.06–13.18
Total shots
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3111.0125.32safe10.39–18.237.45–14.5717.83–32.81safer9.29–19.336.49–15.5315.78–34.86
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.027.2716.29safe6.08–11.964.59–9.9510.66–21.91safer5.25–12.793.85–10.699.10–23.48
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.253.357.60safe2.37–6.131.69–5.004.06–11.13safer1.82–6.681.20–5.493.03–12.17
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.674.199.86safe3.46–7.882.19–6.195.64–14.07safer2.88–8.461.66–6.724.54–15.18
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.4048.18safe45.61–59.1941.39–54.96safer43.94–60.8639.72–56.64
Passes
72%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction491420911safe424–558353–486777–1045safer406–577336–504741–1080
Pass accuracy %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction63.9167.13safe59.88–67.9462.80–71.45safer58.59–69.2361.49–72.76
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0711.3522.42safe8.23–13.918.40–14.2916.64–28.20safer7.48–14.667.66–15.0415.13–29.71
Offsides
38%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.352.73safe0.22–2.540.26–2.440.47–4.98safer0.00–2.840.00–2.730.00–5.57
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.213.95safe0.69–2.781.08–3.341.77–6.13safer0.42–3.050.79–3.631.21–6.68
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.305.88safe1.15–4.021.74–4.852.89–8.87safer0.76–4.411.31–5.282.08–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.42–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.05 0.20–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.43 0.61–4.26 0.13–4.74 | 45% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.85 2.99–6.71 2.50–7.20 | 3.77 2.03–5.51 1.56–5.98 | 8.62 5.02–12.23 4.06–13.18 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.31 10.39–18.23 9.29–19.33 | 11.01 7.45–14.57 6.49–15.53 | 25.32 17.83–32.81 15.78–34.86 | 71% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.02 6.08–11.96 5.25–12.79 | 7.27 4.59–9.95 3.85–10.69 | 16.29 10.66–21.91 9.10–23.48 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.25 2.37–6.13 1.82–6.68 | 3.35 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 7.60 4.06–11.13 3.03–12.17 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.46–7.88 2.88–8.46 | 4.19 2.19–6.19 1.66–6.72 | 9.86 5.64–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 52.40 45.61–59.19 43.94–60.86 | 48.18 41.39–54.96 39.72–56.64 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 491 424–558 406–577 | 420 353–486 336–504 | 911 777–1045 741–1080 | 72% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.91 59.88–67.94 58.59–69.23 | 67.13 62.80–71.45 61.49–72.76 | — | 32% 64% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.23–13.91 7.48–14.66 | 11.35 8.40–14.29 7.66–15.04 | 22.42 16.64–28.20 15.13–29.71 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 1.35 0.26–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 2.73 0.47–4.98 0.00–5.57 | 38% 26% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.95 1.77–6.13 1.21–6.68 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.30 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.28 | 5.88 2.89–8.87 2.08–9.68 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.