Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.172.053.22safe0.20–2.141.20–2.911.40–5.05safer0.00–2.390.97–3.140.92–5.53
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.096.0110.10safe2.23–5.964.27–7.756.50–13.71safer1.74–6.453.80–8.225.54–14.66
Total shots
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1016.1229.22safe9.17–17.0212.56–19.6921.73–36.71safer8.08–18.1111.60–20.6519.68–38.76
Shots in box
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4111.3119.72safe5.47–11.358.63–14.0014.10–25.35safer4.64–12.187.90–14.7312.53–26.91
Blocked shots
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.645.198.83safe1.76–5.533.53–6.845.29–12.36safer1.22–6.073.04–7.334.26–13.40
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.705.9010.60safe2.49–6.913.90–7.906.38–14.81safer1.91–7.493.36–8.435.28–15.92
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.4158.66safe35.62–49.2051.88–65.45safer33.95–50.8750.20–67.12
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction397534931safe330–464468–601798–1065safer312–483450–618762–1101
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction65.0778.59safe61.04–69.1074.26–82.91safer59.75–70.3972.95–84.22
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5011.4720.97safe6.66–12.338.53–14.4215.19–26.75safer5.90–13.097.78–15.1713.68–28.26
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.703.60safe0.74–3.060.61–2.791.35–5.85safer0.44–3.360.32–3.080.76–6.44
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.643.30safe0.60–2.700.51–2.771.12–5.47safer0.34–2.970.22–3.060.56–6.03
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.676.28safe2.18–5.051.12–4.233.29–9.28safer1.79–5.440.69–4.652.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 2.05 1.20–2.91 0.97–3.14 | 3.22 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.53 | 21% 21% 58% |
| Shots on target | 4.09 2.23–5.96 1.74–6.45 | 6.01 4.27–7.75 3.80–8.22 | 10.10 6.50–13.71 5.54–14.66 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 13.10 9.17–17.02 8.08–18.11 | 16.12 12.56–19.69 11.60–20.65 | 29.22 21.73–36.71 19.68–38.76 | 26% 68% |
| Shots in box | 8.41 5.47–11.35 4.64–12.18 | 11.31 8.63–14.00 7.90–14.73 | 19.72 14.10–25.35 12.53–26.91 | 22% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.53 1.22–6.07 | 5.19 3.53–6.84 3.04–7.33 | 8.83 5.29–12.36 4.26–13.40 | 24% 64% |
| Corners | 4.70 2.49–6.91 1.91–7.49 | 5.90 3.90–7.90 3.36–8.43 | 10.60 6.38–14.81 5.28–15.92 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 42.41 35.62–49.20 33.95–50.87 | 58.66 51.88–65.45 50.20–67.12 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 397 330–464 312–483 | 534 468–601 450–618 | 931 798–1065 762–1101 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.07 61.04–69.10 59.75–70.39 | 78.59 74.26–82.91 72.95–84.22 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 9.50 6.66–12.33 5.90–13.09 | 11.47 8.53–14.42 7.78–15.17 | 20.97 15.19–26.75 13.68–28.26 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 3.30 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.61 2.18–5.05 1.79–5.44 | 2.67 1.12–4.23 0.69–4.65 | 6.28 3.29–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 57% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+