Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.532.93safe0.43–2.370.68–2.391.11–4.76safer0.18–2.620.45–2.620.63–5.24
Shots on target
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.729.38safe2.80–6.522.98–6.465.77–12.98safer2.31–7.012.51–6.934.82–13.94
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1413.1628.29safe11.21–19.069.59–16.7220.81–35.78safer10.12–20.158.63–17.6818.76–37.83
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.678.7818.46safe6.73–12.616.10–11.4712.83–24.08safer5.90–13.445.37–12.2011.27–25.65
Blocked shots
49%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.008.41safe2.53–6.292.35–5.654.87–11.94safer1.98–6.831.85–6.143.84–12.98
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.474.449.91safe3.25–7.682.44–6.445.69–14.12safer2.68–8.251.91–6.974.59–15.23
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.5251.64safe41.73–55.3144.86–58.43safer40.06–56.9843.19–60.10
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction481497978safe414–548430–563844–1112safer396–567413–581809–1147
Pass accuracy %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction71.9375.36safe67.90–75.9571.04–79.69safer66.60–77.2569.73–80.99
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6110.9221.53safe7.77–13.447.98–13.8615.74–27.31safer7.01–14.207.23–14.6114.24–28.81
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.773.43safe0.51–2.830.68–2.861.18–5.69safer0.20–3.130.39–3.150.59–6.28
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.813.53safe0.68–2.770.68–2.931.35–5.71safer0.41–3.040.39–3.230.80–6.27
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
41%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.133.166.29safe1.69–4.561.60–4.713.29–9.28safer1.30–4.951.18–5.142.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.53 0.68–2.39 0.45–2.62 | 2.93 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 35% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.80–6.52 2.31–7.01 | 4.72 2.98–6.46 2.51–6.93 | 9.38 5.77–12.98 4.82–13.94 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 15.14 11.21–19.06 10.12–20.15 | 13.16 9.59–16.72 8.63–17.68 | 28.29 20.81–35.78 18.76–37.83 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.67 6.73–12.61 5.90–13.44 | 8.78 6.10–11.47 5.37–12.20 | 18.46 12.83–24.08 11.27–25.65 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.53–6.29 1.98–6.83 | 4.00 2.35–5.65 1.85–6.14 | 8.41 4.87–11.94 3.84–12.98 | 49% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.47 3.25–7.68 2.68–8.25 | 4.44 2.44–6.44 1.91–6.97 | 9.91 5.69–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 48.52 41.73–55.31 40.06–56.98 | 51.64 44.86–58.43 43.19–60.10 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 481 414–548 396–567 | 497 430–563 413–581 | 978 844–1112 809–1147 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.93 67.90–75.95 66.60–77.25 | 75.36 71.04–79.69 69.73–80.99 | — | 31% 65% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.44 7.01–14.20 | 10.92 7.98–13.86 7.23–14.61 | 21.53 15.74–27.31 14.24–28.81 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.20–3.13 | 1.77 0.68–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.43 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.28 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.68–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.81 0.68–2.93 0.39–3.23 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.80–6.27 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.18–5.14 | 6.29 3.29–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 41% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+