Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.850.892.74safe0.88–2.820.03–1.740.92–4.56safer0.63–3.070.00–1.970.44–5.04
Shots on target
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.783.168.94safe3.91–7.641.42–4.905.33–12.54safer3.42–8.130.95–5.374.38–13.50
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.839.8025.63safe11.90–19.756.24–13.3718.15–33.12safer10.81–20.845.28–14.3316.09–35.17
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.186.4616.64safe7.24–13.133.78–9.1411.02–22.27safer6.41–13.953.04–9.889.45–23.83
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.482.506.98safe2.60–6.370.85–4.153.45–10.52safer2.06–6.910.35–4.642.41–11.55
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.703.8710.57safe4.49–8.911.87–5.876.36–14.79safer3.91–9.491.34–6.415.25–15.89
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.4039.88safe53.61–67.1933.09–46.66safer51.94–68.8631.42–48.33
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction543363906safe475–610297–430772–1040safer457–628279–447737–1075
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction68.8365.79safe64.80–72.8661.46–70.11safer63.50–74.1560.15–71.42
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3412.0022.34safe7.50–13.189.05–14.9416.56–28.12safer6.75–13.948.30–15.6915.05–29.63
Offsides
46%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.653.63safe0.81–3.130.56–2.751.37–5.88safer0.51–3.430.27–3.040.78–6.47
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.063.36safe0.25–2.350.93–3.191.18–5.53safer0.00–2.610.64–3.480.62–6.09
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
20%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.183.635.81safe0.74–3.612.08–5.192.82–8.80safer0.35–4.001.65–5.612.01–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.88–2.82 0.63–3.07 | 0.89 0.03–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.91–7.64 3.42–8.13 | 3.16 1.42–4.90 0.95–5.37 | 8.94 5.33–12.54 4.38–13.50 | 76% 14% |
| Total shots | 15.83 11.90–19.75 10.81–20.84 | 9.80 6.24–13.37 5.28–14.33 | 25.63 18.15–33.12 16.09–35.17 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.18 7.24–13.13 6.41–13.95 | 6.46 3.78–9.14 3.04–9.88 | 16.64 11.02–22.27 9.45–23.83 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.48 2.60–6.37 2.06–6.91 | 2.50 0.85–4.15 0.35–4.64 | 6.98 3.45–10.52 2.41–11.55 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.70 4.49–8.91 3.91–9.49 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.34–6.41 | 10.57 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.89 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 60.40 53.61–67.19 51.94–68.86 | 39.88 33.09–46.66 31.42–48.33 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 543 475–610 457–628 | 363 297–430 279–447 | 906 772–1040 737–1075 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.83 64.80–72.86 63.50–74.15 | 65.79 61.46–70.11 60.15–71.42 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 10.34 7.50–13.18 6.75–13.94 | 12.00 9.05–14.94 8.30–15.69 | 22.34 16.56–28.12 15.05–29.63 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.65 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.04 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.30 0.25–2.35 0.00–2.61 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.36 1.18–5.53 0.62–6.09 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 3.63 2.08–5.19 1.65–5.61 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.01–9.61 | 20% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.