Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.232.87safe0.67–2.600.38–2.091.04–4.69safer0.41–2.850.15–2.320.56–5.17
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.804.439.23safe2.94–6.672.68–6.175.63–12.84safer2.45–7.162.22–6.634.67–13.79
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0011.6125.61safe10.07–17.928.05–15.1718.12–33.10safer8.98–19.017.09–16.1316.07–35.15
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.027.9817.00safe6.08–11.965.30–10.6611.37–22.62safer5.25–12.794.56–11.409.81–24.19
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.772.736.50safe1.89–5.651.07–4.382.96–10.03safer1.34–6.190.58–4.871.92–11.07
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.199.96safe3.56–7.992.19–6.195.75–14.17safer2.98–8.561.66–6.724.64–15.28
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.5448.38safe45.75–59.3341.59–55.16safer44.08–61.0039.92–56.83
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction474431905safe407–541365–498772–1039safer388–559347–515736–1075
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction71.8972.17safe67.86–75.9267.85–76.50safer66.57–77.2166.54–77.81
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9012.0024.90safe10.06–15.739.06–14.9519.12–30.68safer9.30–16.498.31–15.7017.61–32.19
Offsides
19%
15%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.833.265.09safe0.67–2.992.17–4.352.83–7.34safer0.37–3.291.88–4.642.24–7.93
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.114.04safe0.88–2.980.98–3.231.86–6.22safer0.62–3.250.69–3.531.30–6.77
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.195.87safe1.24–4.111.64–4.752.88–8.86safer0.85–4.501.21–5.172.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.67–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.80 2.94–6.67 2.45–7.16 | 4.43 2.68–6.17 2.22–6.63 | 9.23 5.63–12.84 4.67–13.79 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.00 10.07–17.92 8.98–19.01 | 11.61 8.05–15.17 7.09–16.13 | 25.61 18.12–33.10 16.07–35.15 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.02 6.08–11.96 5.25–12.79 | 7.98 5.30–10.66 4.56–11.40 | 17.00 11.37–22.62 9.81–24.19 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.65 1.34–6.19 | 2.73 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 6.50 2.96–10.03 1.92–11.07 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.99 2.98–8.56 | 4.19 2.19–6.19 1.66–6.72 | 9.96 5.75–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 52.54 45.75–59.33 44.08–61.00 | 48.38 41.59–55.16 39.92–56.83 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 474 407–541 388–559 | 431 365–498 347–515 | 905 772–1039 736–1075 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.89 67.86–75.92 66.57–77.21 | 72.17 67.85–76.50 66.54–77.81 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 12.90 10.06–15.73 9.30–16.49 | 12.00 9.06–14.95 8.31–15.70 | 24.90 19.12–30.68 17.61–32.19 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 3.26 2.17–4.35 1.88–4.64 | 5.09 2.83–7.34 2.24–7.93 | 19% 15% 66% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.62–3.25 | 2.11 0.98–3.23 0.69–3.53 | 4.04 1.86–6.22 1.30–6.77 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 3.19 1.64–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.07–9.68 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.