Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.102.42safe0.35–2.290.25–1.960.60–4.25safer0.10–2.540.02–2.190.12–4.72
Shots on target
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.557.87safe2.45–6.181.81–5.294.26–11.47safer1.96–6.671.34–5.763.31–12.43
Total shots
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3812.4225.80safe9.45–17.308.86–15.9918.31–33.29safer8.36–18.397.90–16.9416.26–35.34
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.518.1116.62safe5.57–11.455.43–10.7911.00–22.24safer4.74–12.284.69–11.539.43–23.81
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.086.74safe1.78–5.541.43–4.733.20–10.27safer1.23–6.080.93–5.222.17–11.31
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.329.71safe3.17–7.602.32–6.325.49–13.92safer2.60–8.171.79–6.854.39–15.03
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.3542.69safe50.56–64.1435.90–49.47safer48.89–65.8134.23–51.14
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction532371903safe465–599305–437769–1037safer447–617287–455734–1072
Pass accuracy %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction67.5364.35safe63.50–71.5660.02–68.67safer62.21–72.8558.71–69.98
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1213.0524.17safe8.28–13.9510.11–16.0018.39–29.95safer7.52–14.719.36–16.7516.88–31.46
Offsides
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.793.42safe0.47–2.790.70–2.891.17–5.67safer0.16–3.090.41–3.170.58–6.26
Yellow cards
31%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.023.65safe0.57–2.670.90–3.151.47–5.83safer0.31–2.940.60–3.440.91–6.38
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
34%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.065.62safe1.13–4.001.50–4.612.63–8.62safer0.74–4.391.08–5.041.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.42 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.72 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.45–6.18 1.96–6.67 | 3.55 1.81–5.29 1.34–5.76 | 7.87 4.26–11.47 3.31–12.43 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.38 9.45–17.30 8.36–18.39 | 12.42 8.86–15.99 7.90–16.94 | 25.80 18.31–33.29 16.26–35.34 | 54% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.51 5.57–11.45 4.74–12.28 | 8.11 5.43–10.79 4.69–11.53 | 16.62 11.00–22.24 9.43–23.81 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 3.08 1.43–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 6.74 3.20–10.27 2.17–11.31 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.17–7.60 2.60–8.17 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.79–6.85 | 9.71 5.49–13.92 4.39–15.03 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 57.35 50.56–64.14 48.89–65.81 | 42.69 35.90–49.47 34.23–51.14 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 532 465–599 447–617 | 371 305–437 287–455 | 903 769–1037 734–1072 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.53 63.50–71.56 62.21–72.85 | 64.35 60.02–68.67 58.71–69.98 | — | 64% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.12 8.28–13.95 7.52–14.71 | 13.05 10.11–16.00 9.36–16.75 | 24.17 18.39–29.95 16.88–31.46 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.16–3.09 | 1.79 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.17 | 3.42 1.17–5.67 0.58–6.26 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 2.02 0.90–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.91–6.38 | 31% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.06 1.50–4.61 1.08–5.04 | 5.62 2.63–8.62 1.82–9.43 | 34% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.