Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.333.61safe1.31–3.250.47–2.181.78–5.43safer1.06–3.500.24–2.411.30–5.91
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.514.2110.73safe4.65–8.382.47–5.957.12–14.33safer4.16–8.872.00–6.426.17–15.29
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.8711.4129.28safe13.94–21.797.85–14.9721.79–36.77safer12.85–22.886.89–15.9319.74–38.82
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction12.558.0420.59safe9.61–15.495.36–10.7214.97–26.21safer8.78–16.324.62–11.4613.40–27.78
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.723.257.97safe2.84–6.601.59–4.904.43–11.50safer2.29–7.151.10–5.393.40–12.54
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.033.7610.79safe4.82–9.241.76–5.766.58–15.00safer4.24–9.821.23–6.295.47–16.11
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.0239.79safe53.23–66.8133.00–46.57safer51.56–68.4831.33–48.24
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction580372952safe513–647306–438818–1086safer495–665288–456783–1121
Pass accuracy %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction75.7469.87safe71.71–79.7765.55–74.20safer70.41–81.0664.24–75.51
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4811.5121.99safe7.64–13.318.57–14.4616.21–27.77safer6.88–14.077.82–15.2014.70–29.28
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.703.40safe0.55–2.870.60–2.791.15–5.66safer0.25–3.170.31–3.080.56–6.25
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.833.04safe0.16–2.260.71–2.960.87–5.22safer0.00–2.530.41–3.250.31–5.78
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.013.926.93safe1.58–4.452.36–5.473.94–9.92safer1.19–4.841.94–5.903.13–10.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.28 1.31–3.25 1.06–3.50 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 3.61 1.78–5.43 1.30–5.91 | 59% 20% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.51 4.65–8.38 4.16–8.87 | 4.21 2.47–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 10.73 7.12–14.33 6.17–15.29 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.87 13.94–21.79 12.85–22.88 | 11.41 7.85–14.97 6.89–15.93 | 29.28 21.79–36.77 19.74–38.82 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 12.55 9.61–15.49 8.78–16.32 | 8.04 5.36–10.72 4.62–11.46 | 20.59 14.97–26.21 13.40–27.78 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.72 2.84–6.60 2.29–7.15 | 3.25 1.59–4.90 1.10–5.39 | 7.97 4.43–11.50 3.40–12.54 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 7.03 4.82–9.24 4.24–9.82 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.23–6.29 | 10.79 6.58–15.00 5.47–16.11 | 80% |
| Possession % | 60.02 53.23–66.81 51.56–68.48 | 39.79 33.00–46.57 31.33–48.24 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 580 513–647 495–665 | 372 306–438 288–456 | 952 818–1086 783–1121 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.74 71.71–79.77 70.41–81.06 | 69.87 65.55–74.20 64.24–75.51 | — | 76% 21% |
| Fouls | 10.48 7.64–13.31 6.88–14.07 | 11.51 8.57–14.46 7.82–15.20 | 21.99 16.21–27.77 14.70–29.28 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.70 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.08 | 3.40 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.21 0.16–2.26 0.00–2.53 | 1.83 0.71–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.04 0.87–5.22 0.31–5.78 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.58–4.45 1.19–4.84 | 3.92 2.36–5.47 1.94–5.90 | 6.93 3.94–9.92 3.13–10.73 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+