Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.082.86safe0.81–2.750.22–1.931.04–4.68safer0.56–3.000.00–2.160.56–5.16
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.453.629.07safe3.58–7.311.88–5.365.46–12.67safer3.09–7.801.41–5.834.51–13.63
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3210.5426.86safe12.39–20.246.98–14.1019.37–34.34safer11.30–21.336.02–15.0617.32–36.40
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction10.107.1117.20safe7.15–13.044.43–9.7911.58–22.83safer6.32–13.873.69–10.5310.01–24.39
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.213.197.40safe2.33–6.091.54–4.843.87–10.94safer1.78–6.641.05–5.342.83–11.97
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.0310.19safe3.94–8.372.03–6.035.97–14.40safer3.37–8.941.50–6.564.87–15.51
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.5341.05safe52.74–66.3234.26–47.83safer51.07–67.9932.59–49.50
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction585377962safe518–652311–443828–1096safer500–670293–461793–1131
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction69.5065.55safe65.47–73.5361.22–69.87safer64.18–74.8259.91–71.18
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5711.5922.16safe7.73–13.418.64–14.5316.38–27.94safer6.98–14.177.89–15.2814.87–29.45
Offsides
59%
18%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.561.574.14safe1.40–3.720.48–2.661.88–6.39safer1.10–4.030.19–2.951.29–6.98
Yellow cards
23%
19%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.443.95safe0.47–2.561.31–3.571.78–6.13safer0.20–2.831.02–3.861.22–6.69
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
28%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.496.05safe1.13–4.001.94–5.053.06–9.05safer0.74–4.391.51–5.472.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.75 0.56–3.00 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.45 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 3.62 1.88–5.36 1.41–5.83 | 9.07 5.46–12.67 4.51–13.63 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 16.32 12.39–20.24 11.30–21.33 | 10.54 6.98–14.10 6.02–15.06 | 26.86 19.37–34.34 17.32–36.40 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.10 7.15–13.04 6.32–13.87 | 7.11 4.43–9.79 3.69–10.53 | 17.20 11.58–22.83 10.01–24.39 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.09 1.78–6.64 | 3.19 1.54–4.84 1.05–5.34 | 7.40 3.87–10.94 2.83–11.97 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.94–8.37 3.37–8.94 | 4.03 2.03–6.03 1.50–6.56 | 10.19 5.97–14.40 4.87–15.51 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 59.53 52.74–66.32 51.07–67.99 | 41.05 34.26–47.83 32.59–49.50 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 585 518–652 500–670 | 377 311–443 293–461 | 962 828–1096 793–1131 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.50 65.47–73.53 64.18–74.82 | 65.55 61.22–69.87 59.91–71.18 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 10.57 7.73–13.41 6.98–14.17 | 11.59 8.64–14.53 7.89–15.28 | 22.16 16.38–27.94 14.87–29.45 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.56 1.40–3.72 1.10–4.03 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 4.14 1.88–6.39 1.29–6.98 | 59% 18% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.47–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 2.44 1.31–3.57 1.02–3.86 | 3.95 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 23% 19% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.49 1.94–5.05 1.51–5.47 | 6.05 3.06–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 28% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.