Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.162.60safe0.48–2.410.30–2.010.78–4.42safer0.22–2.660.07–2.240.30–4.90
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.268.74safe2.61–6.342.52–6.015.13–12.34safer2.12–6.832.06–6.474.18–13.30
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1712.1225.29safe9.24–17.098.56–15.6917.81–32.78safer8.15–18.197.60–16.6515.76–34.83
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.787.7116.49safe5.84–11.725.03–10.3910.86–22.11safer5.01–12.554.29–11.139.30–23.68
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.877.54safe1.79–5.562.22–5.524.01–11.08safer1.25–6.101.73–6.022.97–12.11
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.799.95safe2.95–7.382.79–6.795.74–14.17safer2.38–7.952.26–7.324.63–15.28
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.7555.58safe38.96–52.5448.79–62.36safer37.29–54.2147.12–64.03
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction443517960safe376–510450–583826–1093safer358–528433–601790–1129
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction65.2975.39safe61.26–69.3271.07–79.71safer59.97–70.6269.76–81.02
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4710.7321.21safe7.64–13.317.79–13.6815.43–26.99safer6.88–14.077.04–14.4313.92–28.50
Offsides
53%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.203.09safe0.73–3.050.11–2.290.83–5.34safer0.42–3.350.00–2.580.24–5.93
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.863.54safe0.63–2.730.73–2.991.36–5.72safer0.36–3.000.44–3.280.80–6.28
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.035.89safe1.42–4.301.48–4.592.90–8.88safer1.04–4.681.05–5.012.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.48–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.60 0.78–4.42 0.30–4.90 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.34 2.12–6.83 | 4.26 2.52–6.01 2.06–6.47 | 8.74 5.13–12.34 4.18–13.30 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.17 9.24–17.09 8.15–18.19 | 12.12 8.56–15.69 7.60–16.65 | 25.29 17.81–32.78 15.76–34.83 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.78 5.84–11.72 5.01–12.55 | 7.71 5.03–10.39 4.29–11.13 | 16.49 10.86–22.11 9.30–23.68 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.56 1.25–6.10 | 3.87 2.22–5.52 1.73–6.02 | 7.54 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.11 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.95–7.38 2.38–7.95 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.26–7.32 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.28 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 45.75 38.96–52.54 37.29–54.21 | 55.58 48.79–62.36 47.12–64.03 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 443 376–510 358–528 | 517 450–583 433–601 | 960 826–1093 790–1129 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.29 61.26–69.32 59.97–70.62 | 75.39 71.07–79.71 69.76–81.02 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.47 7.64–13.31 6.88–14.07 | 10.73 7.79–13.68 7.04–14.43 | 21.21 15.43–26.99 13.92–28.50 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.42–3.35 | 1.20 0.11–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 3.09 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.93 | 53% 22% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–3.00 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.54 1.36–5.72 0.80–6.28 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.30 1.04–4.68 | 3.03 1.48–4.59 1.05–5.01 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.09–9.70 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.