Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.212.66safe0.48–2.410.36–2.070.84–4.48safer0.23–2.660.13–2.300.36–4.96
Shots on target
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.798.62safe2.97–6.692.04–5.535.01–12.22safer2.48–7.181.58–5.994.06–13.18
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4412.0227.46safe11.52–19.378.46–15.5819.98–34.95safer10.43–20.467.50–16.5417.93–37.00
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction9.787.7517.53safe6.84–12.735.07–10.4311.91–23.16safer6.01–13.564.33–11.1710.34–24.72
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.577.83safe2.38–6.141.92–5.224.29–11.36safer1.84–6.691.42–5.713.26–12.40
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.464.6210.08safe3.25–7.682.62–6.625.87–14.30safer2.68–8.252.09–7.154.76–15.40
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction48.2352.16safe41.44–55.0345.38–58.95safer39.77–56.6943.71–60.62
Passes
49%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction439441880safe372–507374–507746–1014safer354–525357–525711–1049
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction62.9969.92safe58.96–67.0265.59–74.24safer57.67–68.3164.28–75.55
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0911.6924.78safe10.25–15.938.74–14.6318.99–30.56safer9.50–16.687.99–15.3817.49–32.06
Offsides
51%
20%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.663.91safe1.09–3.410.57–2.751.66–6.17safer0.79–3.710.28–3.041.07–6.76
Yellow cards
42%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.803.76safe0.91–3.010.67–2.931.58–5.94safer0.64–3.270.38–3.221.02–6.49
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.305.98safe1.24–4.121.75–4.862.99–8.98safer0.86–4.501.32–5.282.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.41 0.23–2.66 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.30 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.69 2.48–7.18 | 3.79 2.04–5.53 1.58–5.99 | 8.62 5.01–12.22 4.06–13.18 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 15.44 11.52–19.37 10.43–20.46 | 12.02 8.46–15.58 7.50–16.54 | 27.46 19.98–34.95 17.93–37.00 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.78 6.84–12.73 6.01–13.56 | 7.75 5.07–10.43 4.33–11.17 | 17.53 11.91–23.16 10.34–24.72 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.38–6.14 1.84–6.69 | 3.57 1.92–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 7.83 4.29–11.36 3.26–12.40 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.25–7.68 2.68–8.25 | 4.62 2.62–6.62 2.09–7.15 | 10.08 5.87–14.30 4.76–15.40 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 48.23 41.44–55.03 39.77–56.69 | 52.16 45.38–58.95 43.71–60.62 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 439 372–507 354–525 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 880 746–1014 711–1049 | 49% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.99 58.96–67.02 57.67–68.31 | 69.92 65.59–74.24 64.28–75.55 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 13.09 10.25–15.93 9.50–16.68 | 11.69 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 24.78 18.99–30.56 17.49–32.06 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.79–3.71 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.91 1.66–6.17 1.07–6.76 | 51% 20% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.27 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.02–6.49 | 42% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.24–4.12 0.86–4.50 | 3.30 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 5.98 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.