Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
25%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.542.59safe0.09–2.020.69–2.400.77–4.42safer0.00–2.270.46–2.620.29–4.90
Shots on target
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.494.728.20safe1.63–5.352.97–6.464.60–11.81safer1.14–5.842.51–6.923.64–12.76
Total shots
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4314.3125.74safe7.51–15.3510.75–17.8718.25–33.23safer6.41–16.459.79–18.8316.20–35.28
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction7.149.6416.78safe4.20–10.096.96–12.3211.16–22.41safer3.37–10.926.22–13.069.59–23.97
Blocked shots
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.664.618.27safe1.78–5.552.96–6.264.74–11.81safer1.24–6.092.46–6.763.70–12.84
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.665.209.86safe2.44–6.873.20–7.205.64–14.07safer1.87–7.442.67–7.744.54–15.18
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.2856.39safe36.49–50.0749.61–63.18safer34.82–51.7447.93–64.85
Passes
21%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction397491888safe330–464424–557754–1021safer311–482407–575718–1057
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction60.3071.38safe56.27–64.3267.06–75.70safer54.97–65.6265.75–77.01
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6013.0325.63safe9.77–15.4410.08–15.9719.85–31.41safer9.01–16.209.33–16.7218.35–32.92
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.503.05safe0.40–2.720.40–2.590.80–5.30safer0.09–3.020.11–2.880.21–5.89
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.094.05safe0.91–3.010.96–3.221.87–6.22safer0.64–3.270.67–3.511.31–6.78
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.465.70safe1.81–4.680.90–4.012.71–8.70safer1.42–5.070.48–4.441.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.09–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.62 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 26% 25% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.49 1.63–5.35 1.14–5.84 | 4.72 2.97–6.46 2.51–6.92 | 8.20 4.60–11.81 3.64–12.76 | 27% 60% |
| Total shots | 11.43 7.51–15.35 6.41–16.45 | 14.31 10.75–17.87 9.79–18.83 | 25.74 18.25–33.23 16.20–35.28 | 25% 68% |
| Shots in box | 7.14 4.20–10.09 3.37–10.92 | 9.64 6.96–12.32 6.22–13.06 | 16.78 11.16–22.41 9.59–23.97 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 4.61 2.96–6.26 2.46–6.76 | 8.27 4.74–11.81 3.70–12.84 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Corners | 4.66 2.44–6.87 1.87–7.44 | 5.20 3.20–7.20 2.67–7.74 | 9.86 5.64–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 43.28 36.49–50.07 34.82–51.74 | 56.39 49.61–63.18 47.93–64.85 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 397 330–464 311–482 | 491 424–557 407–575 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 21% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.30 56.27–64.32 54.97–65.62 | 71.38 67.06–75.70 65.75–77.01 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.60 9.77–15.44 9.01–16.20 | 13.03 10.08–15.97 9.33–16.72 | 25.63 19.85–31.41 18.35–32.92 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.09–3.02 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.88 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.27 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.05 1.87–6.22 1.31–6.78 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.25 1.81–4.68 1.42–5.07 | 2.46 0.90–4.01 0.48–4.44 | 5.70 2.71–8.70 1.90–9.51 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.