Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.232.53safe0.33–2.260.38–2.090.71–4.35safer0.08–2.510.15–2.320.23–4.83
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.558.95safe2.54–6.272.80–6.295.35–12.56safer2.05–6.762.34–6.754.39–13.51
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4512.6527.11safe10.53–18.389.09–16.2119.62–34.59safer9.44–19.478.13–17.1717.57–36.64
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.178.1217.29safe6.22–12.115.44–10.8011.67–22.91safer5.39–12.944.70–11.5410.10–24.48
Blocked shots
49%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.893.487.37safe2.01–5.771.82–5.133.83–10.90safer1.47–6.321.33–5.622.80–11.94
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.9610.37safe3.20–7.632.96–6.966.16–14.59safer2.63–8.212.42–7.495.05–15.69
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.3752.41safe41.58–55.1645.63–59.20safer39.91–56.8343.95–60.87
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction405432838safe338–473366–499704–971safer320–491348–516668–1007
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction61.4969.37safe57.46–65.5265.05–73.69safer56.17–66.8163.74–75.00
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0012.6723.68safe8.16–13.849.73–15.6217.89–29.46safer7.41–14.608.98–16.3716.39–30.96
Offsides
40%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.833.68safe0.69–3.010.74–2.921.43–5.93safer0.39–3.310.45–3.210.84–6.52
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.993.76safe0.72–2.820.86–3.121.58–5.94safer0.45–3.090.57–3.411.02–6.49
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.012.965.97safe1.57–4.441.40–4.522.98–8.96safer1.18–4.830.98–4.942.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.26 0.08–2.51 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.54–6.27 2.05–6.76 | 4.55 2.80–6.29 2.34–6.75 | 8.95 5.35–12.56 4.39–13.51 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 14.45 10.53–18.38 9.44–19.47 | 12.65 9.09–16.21 8.13–17.17 | 27.11 19.62–34.59 17.57–36.64 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 9.17 6.22–12.11 5.39–12.94 | 8.12 5.44–10.80 4.70–11.54 | 17.29 11.67–22.91 10.10–24.48 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.01–5.77 1.47–6.32 | 3.48 1.82–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 7.37 3.83–10.90 2.80–11.94 | 49% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.20–7.63 2.63–8.21 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.42–7.49 | 10.37 6.16–14.59 5.05–15.69 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 48.37 41.58–55.16 39.91–56.83 | 52.41 45.63–59.20 43.95–60.87 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 405 338–473 320–491 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 838 704–971 668–1007 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.49 57.46–65.52 56.17–66.81 | 69.37 65.05–73.69 63.74–75.00 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 11.00 8.16–13.84 7.41–14.60 | 12.67 9.73–15.62 8.98–16.37 | 23.68 17.89–29.46 16.39–30.96 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.68 1.43–5.93 0.84–6.52 | 40% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.09 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.02–6.49 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 2.96 1.40–4.52 0.98–4.94 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.