Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.252.84safe0.62–2.560.39–2.101.01–4.66safer0.37–2.810.16–2.330.53–5.14
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.353.939.28safe3.49–7.212.19–5.675.68–12.89safer3.00–7.701.72–6.144.72–13.84
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3510.5825.92safe11.42–19.277.01–14.1418.44–33.41safer10.33–20.366.05–15.1016.39–35.46
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.957.4017.35safe7.01–12.894.72–10.0811.73–22.97safer6.18–13.723.98–10.8210.16–24.54
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.542.697.23safe2.65–6.421.04–4.343.69–10.76safer2.11–6.960.55–4.842.66–11.80
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction6.024.6810.70safe3.80–8.232.68–6.686.49–14.91safer3.23–8.802.15–7.225.38–16.02
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction52.9146.19safe46.12–59.7039.41–52.98safer44.45–61.3737.74–54.65
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction473414887safe406–540348–481753–1021safer388–558330–498718–1056
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction68.5567.70safe64.52–72.5863.38–72.02safer63.23–73.8762.07–73.33
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1112.2423.35safe8.27–13.949.29–15.1817.56–29.13safer7.51–14.708.55–15.9316.06–30.63
Offsides
36%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.234.22safe0.83–3.151.14–3.331.97–6.48safer0.53–3.450.85–3.611.38–7.07
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.153.61safe0.42–2.521.02–3.281.44–5.79safer0.15–2.780.73–3.570.88–6.35
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.556.16safe1.18–4.051.99–5.103.17–9.15safer0.79–4.441.57–5.532.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.84 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.49–7.21 3.00–7.70 | 3.93 2.19–5.67 1.72–6.14 | 9.28 5.68–12.89 4.72–13.84 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.35 11.42–19.27 10.33–20.36 | 10.58 7.01–14.14 6.05–15.10 | 25.92 18.44–33.41 16.39–35.46 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.95 7.01–12.89 6.18–13.72 | 7.40 4.72–10.08 3.98–10.82 | 17.35 11.73–22.97 10.16–24.54 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.65–6.42 2.11–6.96 | 2.69 1.04–4.34 0.55–4.84 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.66–11.80 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.02 3.80–8.23 3.23–8.80 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.15–7.22 | 10.70 6.49–14.91 5.38–16.02 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.91 46.12–59.70 44.45–61.37 | 46.19 39.41–52.98 37.74–54.65 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 473 406–540 388–558 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 887 753–1021 718–1056 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.55 64.52–72.58 63.23–73.87 | 67.70 63.38–72.02 62.07–73.33 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 11.11 8.27–13.94 7.51–14.70 | 12.24 9.29–15.18 8.55–15.93 | 23.35 17.56–29.13 16.06–30.63 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 2.23 1.14–3.33 0.85–3.61 | 4.22 1.97–6.48 1.38–7.07 | 36% 20% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.61 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.55 1.99–5.10 1.57–5.53 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.36–9.97 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.