Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
27%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.182.50safe0.35–2.290.33–2.040.68–4.33safer0.10–2.540.10–2.260.20–4.81
Shots on target
50%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.514.038.54safe2.65–6.372.29–5.774.94–12.15safer2.16–6.861.82–6.243.98–13.10
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5411.7425.28safe9.61–17.468.18–15.3017.79–32.76safer8.52–18.557.22–16.2615.74–34.81
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.548.4617.00safe5.60–11.495.78–11.1411.38–22.63safer4.77–12.325.04–11.889.81–24.19
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.866.56safe1.81–5.581.21–4.523.03–10.10safer1.27–6.120.72–5.011.99–11.13
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.639.86safe3.01–7.442.63–6.635.64–14.07safer2.44–8.012.10–7.164.54–15.18
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.0346.01safe47.24–60.8239.23–52.80safer45.57–62.4937.56–54.47
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction496406902safe429–563340–473768–1036safer410–581322–490732–1071
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction67.4868.05safe63.45–71.5163.72–72.37safer62.16–72.8062.42–73.68
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8312.4925.32safe9.99–15.669.55–15.4419.54–31.10safer9.23–16.428.80–16.1918.03–32.61
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.923.52safe0.44–2.760.83–3.021.27–5.78safer0.14–3.060.54–3.310.68–6.37
Yellow cards
39%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.003.95safe0.90–3.000.87–3.131.77–6.13safer0.64–3.270.58–3.421.22–6.69
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.742.975.71safe1.30–4.171.42–4.532.72–8.70safer0.91–4.560.99–4.951.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.26 | 2.50 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 40% 27% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.51 2.65–6.37 2.16–6.86 | 4.03 2.29–5.77 1.82–6.24 | 8.54 4.94–12.15 3.98–13.10 | 50% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.54 9.61–17.46 8.52–18.55 | 11.74 8.18–15.30 7.22–16.26 | 25.28 17.79–32.76 15.74–34.81 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.54 5.60–11.49 4.77–12.32 | 8.46 5.78–11.14 5.04–11.88 | 17.00 11.38–22.63 9.81–24.19 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.81–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 2.86 1.21–4.52 0.72–5.01 | 6.56 3.03–10.10 1.99–11.13 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.01–7.44 2.44–8.01 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.10–7.16 | 9.86 5.64–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 54.03 47.24–60.82 45.57–62.49 | 46.01 39.23–52.80 37.56–54.47 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 496 429–563 410–581 | 406 340–473 322–490 | 902 768–1036 732–1071 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.48 63.45–71.51 62.16–72.80 | 68.05 63.72–72.37 62.42–73.68 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 12.83 9.99–15.66 9.23–16.42 | 12.49 9.55–15.44 8.80–16.19 | 25.32 19.54–31.10 18.03–32.61 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.92 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.31 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.95 1.77–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 39% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 2.97 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 5.71 2.72–8.70 1.90–9.51 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+