Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.582.71safe0.17–2.100.72–2.430.89–4.54safer0.00–2.360.50–2.660.41–5.02
Shots on target
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.944.408.34safe2.07–5.802.66–6.154.73–11.94safer1.58–6.292.19–6.613.78–12.90
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6212.3523.97safe7.69–15.548.79–15.9216.49–31.46safer6.60–16.647.83–16.8814.44–33.51
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction7.568.4215.98safe4.62–10.505.74–11.1010.35–21.60safer3.79–11.335.00–11.838.79–23.17
Blocked shots
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.536.72safe1.31–5.071.88–5.193.19–10.26safer0.76–5.611.39–5.682.15–11.29
Corners
41%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.905.1510.05safe2.69–7.113.15–7.155.84–14.26safer2.11–7.692.61–7.684.73–15.37
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction43.0457.74safe36.25–49.8350.95–64.52safer34.58–51.5049.28–66.19
Passes
17%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction369482851safe302–436415–548717–984safer284–455398–566681–1020
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction59.9470.32safe55.91–63.9765.99–74.64safer54.62–65.2664.68–75.95
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2511.8726.12safe11.42–17.098.93–14.8220.34–31.91safer10.66–17.858.18–15.5618.84–33.41
Offsides
51%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.423.39safe0.81–3.130.32–2.511.13–5.64safer0.51–3.430.03–2.800.55–6.23
Yellow cards
46%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.834.00safe1.11–3.210.70–2.961.82–6.17safer0.85–3.480.41–3.251.26–6.73
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.832.855.68safe1.39–4.261.29–4.412.69–8.67safer1.00–4.650.87–4.831.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.36 | 1.58 0.72–2.43 0.50–2.66 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.07–5.80 1.58–6.29 | 4.40 2.66–6.15 2.19–6.61 | 8.34 4.73–11.94 3.78–12.90 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 11.62 7.69–15.54 6.60–16.64 | 12.35 8.79–15.92 7.83–16.88 | 23.97 16.49–31.46 14.44–33.51 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.56 4.62–10.50 3.79–11.33 | 8.42 5.74–11.10 5.00–11.83 | 15.98 10.35–21.60 8.79–23.17 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.07 0.76–5.61 | 3.53 1.88–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 6.72 3.19–10.26 2.15–11.29 | 37% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 4.90 2.69–7.11 2.11–7.69 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.61–7.68 | 10.05 5.84–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 41% 47% |
| Possession % | 43.04 36.25–49.83 34.58–51.50 | 57.74 50.95–64.52 49.28–66.19 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 369 302–436 284–455 | 482 415–548 398–566 | 851 717–984 681–1020 | 17% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.94 55.91–63.97 54.62–65.26 | 70.32 65.99–74.64 64.68–75.95 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 14.25 11.42–17.09 10.66–17.85 | 11.87 8.93–14.82 8.18–15.56 | 26.12 20.34–31.91 18.84–33.41 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.80 | 3.39 1.13–5.64 0.55–6.23 | 51% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.85–3.48 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 4.00 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 46% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 2.85 1.29–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 5.68 2.69–8.67 1.87–9.48 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+