Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
26%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.500.962.46safe0.53–2.470.11–1.820.64–4.29safer0.28–2.720.00–2.050.16–4.77
Shots on target
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.703.588.28safe2.84–6.561.84–5.324.68–11.89safer2.35–7.051.37–5.793.72–12.84
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4611.8825.34safe9.54–17.398.32–15.4417.85–32.83safer8.44–18.487.36–16.4015.80–34.88
Shots in box
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction9.627.5517.18safe6.68–12.564.87–10.2411.55–22.80safer5.85–13.394.14–10.979.99–24.37
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.276.97safe1.82–5.581.62–4.923.44–10.51safer1.28–6.131.12–5.412.40–11.54
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.814.3210.13safe3.60–8.022.32–6.325.92–14.35safer3.02–8.601.79–6.854.81–15.45
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction56.8342.46safe50.04–63.6235.68–49.25safer48.37–65.2934.01–50.92
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction504393896safe436–571326–459763–1030safer418–589309–477727–1066
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction67.2266.97safe63.19–71.2562.65–71.30safer61.90–72.5461.34–72.61
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0213.0023.02safe7.18–12.8510.06–15.9517.24–28.80safer6.42–13.619.31–16.6915.73–30.30
Offsides
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.114.07safe0.80–3.121.02–3.201.82–6.33safer0.50–3.420.73–3.491.23–6.91
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.253.68safe0.38–2.471.13–3.381.50–5.86safer0.11–2.740.83–3.670.94–6.41
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.443.005.44safe1.00–3.871.44–4.562.44–8.43safer0.61–4.261.02–4.981.63–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.46 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 50% 26% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.70 2.84–6.56 2.35–7.05 | 3.58 1.84–5.32 1.37–5.79 | 8.28 4.68–11.89 3.72–12.84 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 13.46 9.54–17.39 8.44–18.48 | 11.88 8.32–15.44 7.36–16.40 | 25.34 17.85–32.83 15.80–34.88 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 9.62 6.68–12.56 5.85–13.39 | 7.55 4.87–10.24 4.14–10.97 | 17.18 11.55–22.80 9.99–24.37 | 65% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.28–6.13 | 3.27 1.62–4.92 1.12–5.41 | 6.97 3.44–10.51 2.40–11.54 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.81 3.60–8.02 3.02–8.60 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.79–6.85 | 10.13 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.45 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 56.83 50.04–63.62 48.37–65.29 | 42.46 35.68–49.25 34.01–50.92 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 504 436–571 418–589 | 393 326–459 309–477 | 896 763–1030 727–1066 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.22 63.19–71.25 61.90–72.54 | 66.97 62.65–71.30 61.34–72.61 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 10.02 7.18–12.85 6.42–13.61 | 13.00 10.06–15.95 9.31–16.69 | 23.02 17.24–28.80 15.73–30.30 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 2.11 1.02–3.20 0.73–3.49 | 4.07 1.82–6.33 1.23–6.91 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.38–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 2.25 1.13–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.41 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.00 1.44–4.56 1.02–4.98 | 5.44 2.44–8.43 1.63–9.24 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+