Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.492.80safe0.34–2.280.63–2.340.98–4.62safer0.09–2.530.40–2.570.50–5.10
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.1310.04safe3.05–6.783.39–6.876.44–13.65safer2.56–7.272.92–7.345.48–14.60
Total shots
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5513.9428.49safe10.62–18.4710.38–17.5021.00–35.98safer9.53–19.569.42–18.4618.95–38.03
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.669.3218.98safe6.72–12.616.64–12.0013.36–24.60safer5.89–13.435.90–12.7411.79–26.17
Blocked shots
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.308.51safe2.33–6.092.65–5.954.97–12.04safer1.78–6.632.16–6.453.94–13.08
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.315.2710.58safe3.09–7.523.27–7.276.37–14.79safer2.52–8.102.74–7.805.26–15.90
Possession %
22%
75%
homeawayprediction44.4256.70safe37.63–51.2149.91–63.48safer35.96–52.8848.24–65.15
Passes
19%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction414517931safe347–481451–583797–1065safer329–499433–601762–1100
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction64.1575.90safe60.12–68.1771.58–80.23safer58.82–69.4770.27–81.53
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9310.4521.37safe8.09–13.767.50–13.3915.59–27.16safer7.33–14.526.75–14.1414.09–28.66
Offsides
49%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.373.22safe0.69–3.010.28–2.470.97–5.48safer0.39–3.310.00–2.750.38–6.07
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.923.69safe0.72–2.820.79–3.051.51–5.87safer0.45–3.080.50–3.340.95–6.42
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.306.63safe1.89–4.761.75–4.863.64–9.62safer1.50–5.151.32–5.292.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.49 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 33% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.92 3.05–6.78 2.56–7.27 | 5.13 3.39–6.87 2.92–7.34 | 10.04 6.44–13.65 5.48–14.60 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 14.55 10.62–18.47 9.53–19.56 | 13.94 10.38–17.50 9.42–18.46 | 28.49 21.00–35.98 18.95–38.03 | 51% 42% |
| Shots in box | 9.66 6.72–12.61 5.89–13.43 | 9.32 6.64–12.00 5.90–12.74 | 18.98 13.36–24.60 11.79–26.17 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.09 1.78–6.63 | 4.30 2.65–5.95 2.16–6.45 | 8.51 4.97–12.04 3.94–13.08 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.09–7.52 2.52–8.10 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.74–7.80 | 10.58 6.37–14.79 5.26–15.90 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 44.42 37.63–51.21 35.96–52.88 | 56.70 49.91–63.48 48.24–65.15 | — | 22% 75% |
| Passes | 414 347–481 329–499 | 517 451–583 433–601 | 931 797–1065 762–1100 | 19% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.15 60.12–68.17 58.82–69.47 | 75.90 71.58–80.23 70.27–81.53 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.93 8.09–13.76 7.33–14.52 | 10.45 7.50–13.39 6.75–14.14 | 21.37 15.59–27.16 14.09–28.66 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.75 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 49% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.95–6.42 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 3.30 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.29 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.82–10.43 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+